Match Info

SPAIN: Tercera RFEF - Group 7 - Round 25

Date: 9 March 2025, Sunday


	Torrejón		Collado Villalba

	1	X	2
	2.3	3	2.85
	2.3	3.15	2.9
	2.36	3.07	2.97
	2.33	3.11	2.97	Watch
	2.31	3.04	2.96
	2.3	3.15	2.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.32 ↓ (2.82)	3.09 ↓ (3.25)	2.93 ↑ (2.29)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Torrejón
39.3%

Draw
29.5%

Collado Villalba
31.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.2%

28%

39.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.5%

27.4%

40.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Torrejón has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Torrejón's performance.

Collado Villalba has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Collado Villalba might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Torrejón than the current prediction. (-7.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Torrejón that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Collado Villalba than the current prediction. (+9.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Collado Villalba could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Torrejón - Collado Villalba Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
11', 1 - 0, Pradillos Castrillejo J. ⚽,
23', 2 - 0, Cova A. ⚽,
45+2', 2 - 1, Castellanos J. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Torrejón could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Torrejón won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4:4 (average 0.8:0.8).

Including matches at home between the teams Torrejón won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0:0 (average 0:0).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AD Torrejón CF
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 7
02.03.25	Galapagar - Torrejón	0:1 ✺
23.02.25	Torrejón - Trival Valderas	2:1 ✺
16.02.25	Aravaca - Torrejón	3:1 ✺
09.02.25	Torrejón - México	1:1 ✺
02.02.25	Parla - Torrejón	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.3 WWLTL
- CU Collado Villalba
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 7
01.03.25	Collado Villalba - Alcalá	3:2 ✺
23.02.25	Rayo Vallecano B - Collado Villalba	3:2 ✺
16.02.25	Collado Villalba - Leganés B	1:1 ✺
09.02.25	Tres Cantos - Collado Villalba	0:0 ✺
02.02.25	Collado Villalba - Carabanchel	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.4 WLTTW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 7
26.10.24	Collado Villalba - Torrejón	2:0
04.02.24	Collado Villalba - Torrejón	2:2
17.09.23	Torrejón - Collado Villalba	0:0
26.03.23	Collado Villalba - Torrejón	0:2
27.11.22	Torrejón - Collado Villalba	0:0

Torrejón - Collado Villalba: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide