Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 7 - Round 33

Date: 3 May 2026, Sunday


	Parla		Galapagar

	1	X	2
	1.00	1.00	1.02	Watch
	2.48	2.8	2.38
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.74 ↓ (2.48)	1.9 ↓ (2.8)	1.7 ↓ (2.38)

The best margin for this event is 18.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Parla
34%

Draw
31.2%

Galapagar
34.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.2%

30.3%

35.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.2%

27.7%

39%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Parla has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

Galapagar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Parla than the current prediction. (-2.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Galapagar than the current prediction. (+4.2%)

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 3)
11', 0 - 1, Buceta P. ⚽,
21', 0 - 2, Ferreres F. ⚽,
40', 0 - 3, Gomez de Figueroa A. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
51', 0 - 4, ⚽,
63', 🟥,
76', 0 - 5, ⚽,

Preview

A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 12).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Parla won 0.

Recent performances by Parla have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Galapagar's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Galapagar may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Parla won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 10:15. (average 1.4:2.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Parla won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 7:2. (average 2.3:0.7).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	Galapagar	5	2	2	1	10:8	2	8

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AD Parla
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 7
18.04.26	México - Parla	2:2 ✺
12.04.26	Parla - Tres Cantos	3:4 ✺
05.04.26	Carabanchel - Parla	3:1 ✺
29.03.26	Parla - Móstoles URJC	1:1 ✺
22.03.26	San Sebastian Reyes B - Parla	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.7 TLLTW
- CD Galapagar
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 7
19.04.26	Galapagar - Alcorcón B	0:2 ✺
12.04.26	Villaverde San Andrés - Galapagar	1:1 ✺
02.04.26	Galapagar - México	1:3 ✺
28.03.26	Atlético Madrid C - Galapagar	2:3 ✺
22.03.26	Galapagar - Tres Cantos	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.8 LTLWL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 7
04.01.26	Galapagar - Parla	2:1
06.04.25	Parla - Galapagar	1:1
24.11.24	Galapagar - Parla	3:0
11.02.24	Parla - Galapagar	0:1
24.09.23	Galapagar - Parla	4:2
26.01.22	Galapagar - Parla	4:0
19.09.21	Parla - Galapagar	6:0

Parla - Galapagar: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide