Match Info

SPAIN: Tercera RFEF - Group 7 - Round 26

Date: 16 March 2025, Sunday


	Collado Villalba		Alcorcón B

	1	X	2
	2.25	3.1	2.8
	2.24	3.2	2.95
	2.29	3.26	2.9	Watch
	2.23	3.16	2.99
	2.24	3.2	2.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.25 ↑ (1.85)	3.18 ↓ (3.4)	2.92 ↓ (3.69)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Collado Villalba
40.4%

Draw
28.5%

Alcorcón B
31.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.9%

26.6%

24.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.1%

27.3%

23.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Collado Villalba has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Collado Villalba's form might have worsened.

Alcorcón B has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Alcorcón B's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Collado Villalba than the current prediction. (+9.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Collado Villalba, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alcorcón B than the current prediction. (-7.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Alcorcón B, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Collado Villalba - Alcorcón B Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
66', 1 - 0, ⚽,

Preview

During this match we will see a game between leader and a team of mid-table (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 7 (Play Offs: ) and 12).

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Collado Villalba could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Collado Villalba won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3:1 (average 1:0.3).

Including matches at home between the teams Collado Villalba won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0:0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CU Collado Villalba
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 7
09.03.25	Torrejón - Collado Villalba	2:1 ✺
01.03.25	Collado Villalba - Alcalá	3:2 ✺
23.02.25	Rayo Vallecano B - Collado Villalba	3:2 ✺
16.02.25	Collado Villalba - Leganés B	1:1 ✺
09.02.25	Tres Cantos - Collado Villalba	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 LWLTT
- Alcorcón B
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 7
02.03.25	Trival Valderas - Alcorcón B	0:1 ✺
22.02.25	Alcorcón B - Aravaca	2:1 ✺
15.02.25	México - Alcorcón B	3:2 ✺
08.02.25	Alcorcón B - Parla	3:3 ✺
02.02.25	Villaverde San Andrés - Alcorcón B	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 WWLTL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 7
01.11.24	Alcorcón B - Collado Villalba	1:2
27.01.24	Alcorcón B - Collado Villalba	0:1
10.09.23	Collado Villalba - Alcorcón B	0:0

Collado Villalba - Alcorcón B: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide