Match Info

SPAIN: Tercera RFEF - Group 11 - Round 15

Date: 14 December 2024, Saturday


	Collerense		Poblense

	1	X	2
	5.5	3.9	1.46
	6.2	4.1	1.45
	5.9	3.84	1.47
	6.33	4.05	1.44
	6.2	4.1	1.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.03 ↑ (5.95)	4 ↑ (3.66)	1.45 ↓ (1.51)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 9.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Collerense
15%

Draw
22.7%

Poblense
62.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

15.2%

24.7%

60%

Our Initial ML Estimation

14.8%

24%

61.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Collerense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

Poblense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Collerense than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Poblense than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

Collerense - Poblense Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)

Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 15 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 11 (Play Offs: )).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Collerense won 0.

Recent matches Collerense is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Poblense is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Collerense could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Poblense have a series of home games.

In this match Poblense is a favorite.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Collerense won 0 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 2:15 (average 0.3:1.9).

Including matches at home between the teams Collerense won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 1:5 (average 0.3:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UD Collerense
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 11
06.12.24	Collerense - Llosetense	1:2 ✺
30.11.24	Mercadal - Collerense	2:2 ✺
23.11.24	Collerense - Penya Independent	3:1 ✺
16.11.24	Platges de Calvià - Collerense	1:0 ✺
09.11.24	Collerense - Constancia	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.5 LTWLT
- UD Poblense
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 11
07.12.24	Poblense - Mercadal	1:1 ✺
30.11.24	Penya Independent - Poblense	1:0 ✺
23.11.24	Poblense - Platges de Calvià	0:0 ✺
15.11.24	Poblense - Constancia	1:1 ✺
09.11.24	Poblense - Porreres	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 TLTTL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 11
28.03.24	Collerense - Poblense	0:2
11.11.23	Poblense - Collerense	0:0
11.03.23	Collerense - Poblense	1:1
08.11.22	Poblense - Collerense	5:0
29.01.22	Collerense - Poblense	0:0
02.10.21	Poblense - Collerense	3:0
15.02.20	Collerense - Poblense	0:2

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