Match Info

SPAIN: Tercera RFEF - Group 11 - Round 14

Date: 7 December 2024, Saturday


	Poblense		Mercadal

	1	X	2
	1.27	4.75	9.25
	1.26	4.9	9.6
	1.22	5.09	11.13
	1.27	5.02	10.13
	1.27	5.05	8.8
	1.26	4.9	9.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.26 ↓ (1.38)	4.95 ↑ (4.1)	9.75 ↑ (7)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Poblense
72.3%

Draw
18.4%

Mercadal
9.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

65.2%

21.9%

12.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

68.4%

20.9%

12.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Poblense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Poblense's performance.

Mercadal has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Poblense than the current prediction. (-3.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mercadal than the current prediction. (+3%)

Poblense - Mercadal Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
9', 1 - 0, Capella M. ⚽,
45', 1 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UD Poblense
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 11
30.11.24	Penya Independent - Poblense	1:0 ✺
23.11.24	Poblense - Platges de Calvià	0:0 ✺
15.11.24	Poblense - Constancia	1:1 ✺
09.11.24	Poblense - Porreres	0:1 ✺
03.11.24	Binissalem - Poblense	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LTTLL
- CE Mercadal
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 11
30.11.24	Mercadal - Collerense	2:2 ✺
24.11.24	Mercadal - Llosetense	4:0 ✺
20.11.24	Constancia - Mercadal	2:1 ✺
16.11.24	Penya Independent - Mercadal	3:0 ✺
10.11.24	Mercadal - Platges de Calvià	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 TWLLT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 11
01.03.24	Mercadal - Poblense	1:0
08.04.23	Mercadal - Poblense	0:3
10.12.22	Poblense - Mercadal	3:0
17.04.22	Poblense - Mercadal	3:0
18.12.21	Mercadal - Poblense	1:3
01.05.19	Poblense - Mercadal	2:0
Spanish Tercera Division - Play Offs
15.04.18	Mercadal - Poblense	0:5

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