Match Info

Copa Libertadores - Group Stage - Round 3

Date: 22 April 2025, Tuesday

Location: Estadio Monumental David Arellano (Santiago de Chile)

Referee: Benitez J. (Par)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	StarTimes App, Startimes Sports Premium
Argentina	Disney+
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 2, TOD
Australia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 2
Brazil	Amazon Prime Video, Paramount+
Canada	beIN Connect, beIN Sports
Colombia	ESPN 5
Croatia	Arena Sport 3, MAXtv To Go
Greece	COSMOTE Sport 3
Indonesia	Mola TV
Israel	Sport 4
Italy	Como TV
Mexico	Disney+
Russia	Okko Sport
Serbia	Arena Premium 2
South-america	ESPN 5 South
Spain	beIN Sports
Usa	beIN Connect, beIN Sports, Fanatiz, Fubo Sports Network
Venezuela	Inter
World	Disney+


	Colo-Colo		Racing

	1	X	2
	2.8	3.2	2.6	Watch
	2.85	3.1	2.45
	2.9	3.25	2.45	Watch
	3.04	3.25	2.49
	3.02	3.18	2.48	Watch
	2.9	3	2.4	Watch
	3.03	3.26	2.47	Watch
	2.9	3.25	2.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.93 ↑ (2.67)	3.19 ↓ (3.21)	2.47 ↓ (2.69)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Colo-Colo
32.2%

Draw
29.6%

Racing
38.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.4%

29.5%

35.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.6%

30.2%

35.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Colo-Colo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

Racing has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Colo-Colo than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Racing than the current prediction. (-2.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
22.2%	11.1%	66.7%

Colo Colo - Racing Predictions

Users Predictions: 18 users predict this event. Colo-Colo will win (votes: 4 - 22.2%). Racing will win (votes: 12 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 11.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Racing: 44.9% – 88.5%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Colo-Colo (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Racing (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Racing (1.74) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Colo-Colo (votes: 1 - 20%). Racing (votes: 4 - 80%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Cortes B. (G) 4. Saldivia A. 15. Amor E. 6. Vegas S. 22. Isla M. 23. Vidal A. 8. Pavez E. (C) 32. Cepeda L. 10. Aquino C. 9. Correa J. 19. Rodriguez S.	21. Arias G. (C) 23. Colombo N. 13. Sosa S. 2. Garcia A. 15. Martirena Torres G. N. 19. Rodriguez I. 32. Almendra A. E. 27. Rojas G. 11. Zaracho M. 7. Salas M. 9. Adrian Martinez
Substitutes
25. Alarcon T. 11. Bolados M. 30. De Paul F. (G) 13. Gutierrez B. 5. Mendez V. 16. Opazo Lara O. 20. Oroz A. 34. Pizarro V. 17. Riquelme C. 2. Villagra J. 21. Wiemberg E. 14. Zavala C.	77. Balboa A. 16. Barrios M. 25. Cambeses F. (G) 41. Degregorio R. M. 3. Di Cesare M. 24. Fernandez A. 20. German Conti 34. Mura F. 35. Quiros S. 26. Sanchez R. 28. Solari S. 10. Vietto L.
Coaches
Almiron J.	Costas G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
7', Rodriguez I. 🟨,
9', 1 - 0, Cepeda L. ⚽,
24', Isla M. 🟨,
26', Cepeda L. 🟨,
34', Vegas S. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
60', Correa J. 🟨,
61', Zaracho M. ↓, Solari S. ↑,
63', Adrian Martinez 🟨,
68', Vidal A. ↓, Pizarro V. ↑,
71', Rodriguez S. 🟨,
74', Cepeda L. ↓, Wiemberg E. ↑,
74', Martirena Torres G. N. ↓, Barrios M. ↑,
74', Rodriguez I. ↓, Sanchez R. ↑,
74', Rodriguez S. ↓, Bolados M. ↑,
81', Salas M. ↓, Balboa A. ↑,
86', 1 - 1, Barrios M. ⚽, Adrian Martinez (A),

Preview

At the moment teams are feeling good and ready to play.

Colo-Colo could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.

There will not play in Racing: Martirena Torres G. N. (Inactive) Nardoni J. (Muscle Injury) Sanchez R. (Muscle Injury)

There are questionable in Racing: Zuculini B. (Injury)

Last 1 head-to-head matches Colo-Colo won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0:3

Including matches at home between the teams Colo-Colo won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0:3

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Colo-Colo
Copa Libertadores
10.04.25	Colo-Colo - Fortaleza	Abandoned ✺
Chilean Cup
06.04.25	Colo-Colo - Santiago Wanderers	0:0 ✺
Copa Libertadores
01.04.25	Atlético Bucaramanga - Colo-Colo	3:3 ✺
Chilean Primera Division
27.03.25	Colo-Colo - Palestino	1:1 ✺
Chilean Cup
23.03.25	Unión San Felipe - Colo-Colo	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 ?TTTW
- Racing Club de Avellaneda
Argentinian Liga Profesional
18.04.25	Racing - Central Córdoba	1:0 ✺
14.04.25	Aldosivi - Racing	0:2 ✺
Copa Libertadores
10.04.25	Racing - Atlético Bucaramanga	1:2 ✺
Argentinian Liga Profesional
06.04.25	Racing - Banfield	4:1 ✺
Copa Libertadores
01.04.25	Fortaleza - Racing	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.8 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
18.01.25	Colo-Colo - Racing	0:3

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