What is the expert prediction for Colo-Colo vs Fortaleza?

Our statistical model provides live predictions including win probabilities and estimated scores for Colo-Colo vs Fortaleza. Follow the link for detailed analytics.

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Colo-Colo vs Fortaleza Predictions, H2H Stats & TV Channels (Thursday, April 10, 2025)

Match Info

Copa Libertadores - Group Stage - Round 2

Date: 10 April 2025, Thursday

Location: Estadio Monumental David Arellano (Santiago de Chile)

Referee: Tejera G. (Uru)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	StarTimes App, Startimes Sports Premium
Argentina	Disney+
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA English 1, TOD
Brazil	Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN 4, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
Canada	beIN Connect
Chile	Disney+, ESPN Premium
Colombia	Disney+, ESPN 5
Indonesia	Mola TV
Israel	Sport 2
Italy	Como TV
Mexico	Disney+
Netherlands	Canal+, ESPN 1
Peru	Disney+, Fox Sports 2
South-america	ESPN 5 South
Spain	beIN Sports US XTRA Espanol, beIN Sports US XTRA Espanol
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	beIN Connect, Fanatiz, Fubo Sports Network, Tubi TV
Venezuela	Disney+, Inter
World	Disney+


	Colo-Colo		Fortaleza

	1	X	2
	1.7	3.6	5.5	Watch
	1.71	3.5	5
	1.72	3.6	4.95	Watch
	1.73	3.53	5.33	Watch
	1.7	3.3	5	Watch
	1.71	3.58	5.26	Watch
	1.72	3.6	4.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.71 ↓ (2.36)	3.53 ↑ (3.23)	5.14 ↑ (3.06)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

Watch this match and Copa Libertadores with fuboTV (for US customers)

Network on TV: beIN SPORTS 3

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Current Win Probability

Colo-Colo
55%

Draw
26.7%

Fortaleza
18.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40%

29.2%

30.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.2%

29.1%

30.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Colo-Colo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+15%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Colo-Colo's performance.

Fortaleza has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Fortaleza might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Colo-Colo than the current prediction. (-14.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Colo-Colo that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fortaleza than the current prediction. (+12.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Fortaleza could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
85.7%	0%	14.3%

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Predictions

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Colo-Colo will win (votes: 11 - 84.6%). Fortaleza will win (votes: 2 - 15.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Colo-Colo: 65% – 100%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

AH +0.5 - Fortaleza (2.14) (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

AH -0.75 - Colo-Colo (1.93) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Colo-Colo will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 9 Selected Experts predict this event. Colo-Colo (votes: 5 - 55.6%). Fortaleza (votes: 4 - 44.4%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Cortes B. (G) 4. Saldivia A. 15. Amor E. 6. Vegas S. 22. Isla M. 23. Vidal A. 8. Pavez E. (C) 32. Cepeda L. 10. Aquino C. 9. Correa J. 19. Rodriguez S.	1. Joao Ricardo (G) 13. Kuscevic B. 23. David Luiz 39. Gustavo Mancha 88. Lucas Sasha 14. Mancuso E. 8. Emmanuel Martinez 5. Fernandez P. 16. Diogo Barbosa 11. Marinho 9. Lucero J. (C)
Substitutes
25. Alarcon T. 11. Bolados M. 30. De Paul F. (G) 13. Gutierrez B. 3. Gutierrez D. 5. Mendez V. 16. Opazo Lara O. 20. Oroz A. 34. Pizarro V. 2. Villagra J. 21. Wiemberg E. 14. Zavala C.	19. Allanzinho 77. Andrade K. 12. Brenno (G) 41. Bruninho 6. Bruno Pacheco 10. Calebe 18. Deyverson 20. Matheus Rossetto 21. Moises 4. Titi 22. Yago Pikachu 17. Ze Welison
Coaches
Almiron J.	Vojvoda J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)
61', Lucero J. 🟨,
64', Lucero J. ↓, Deyverson ↑,
64', Marinho ↓, Moises ↑,

Preview

Colo-Colo is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Recent matches Fortaleza is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Colo-Colo is a favorite.

There will not play in Fortaleza: Breno Lopes (Forearm injury) Britez E. (Ankle Injury) Pochettino T. (Inactive)

There are questionable in Fortaleza: Tinga (Injury)

Last 2 head-to-head matches Colo-Colo won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5:5 (average 2.5:2.5).

Including matches at home between the teams Colo-Colo won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3:4

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Last Results with these Odds

Fortaleza - the odds 3.06 are the expected chance of winning is 30.79%, but this team recently wins 13% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Colo-Colo
Chilean Cup
06.04.25	Colo-Colo - Santiago Wanderers	0:0 ✺
Copa Libertadores
01.04.25	Atlético Bucaramanga - Colo-Colo	3:3 ✺
Chilean Primera Division
27.03.25	Colo-Colo - Palestino	1:1 ✺
Chilean Cup
23.03.25	Unión San Felipe - Colo-Colo	0:1 ✺
Chilean Primera Division
09.03.25	Colo-Colo - Everton de Viña	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 TTTWW
- Fortaleza EC
Brazilian Serie A
06.04.25	Mirassol - Fortaleza	1:1 ✺
Copa Libertadores
01.04.25	Fortaleza - Racing	0:3 ✺
Brazilian Serie A
29.03.25	Fortaleza - Fluminense	2:0 ✺
Brazilian Copa do Nordeste
26.03.25	Fortaleza - CRB Maceio	0:1 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Cearense
22.03.25	Ceará - Fortaleza	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 TLWLT

Latest Head to Head

Copa Libertadores
25.05.22	Colo-Colo - Fortaleza	3:4
07.04.22	Fortaleza - Colo-Colo	1:2

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