Match Info

Liga de Primera - Round 10

Date: 19 April 2026, Sunday

Location: Estadio Monumental David Arellano (Santiago de Chile)

Referee: Vejar F. (Chi)


	Colo-Colo		Palestino

	1	X	2
	1.66	3.6	5	Watch
	1.72	3.55	4.7	Watch
	1.73	3.72	5.28
	1.66	3.87	4.96	Watch
	1.62	3.5	4.8
	1.71	3.68	5.39	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.68 ↑ (1.62)	3.65 ↓ (3.89)	5.02 ↓ (5.04)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Colo-Colo
55.7%

Draw
25.7%

Palestino
18.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.5%

24%

18.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60%

23%

17.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Colo-Colo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

Palestino has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Colo-Colo than the current prediction. (+4.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Palestino than the current prediction. (-1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
81.8%	9.1%	9.1%

Colo Colo - Palestino Predictions

Users Predictions: Colo-Colo will win (9 of 11 users predict this - 81.82%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.03% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. De Paul F. (C) 2. Villagra J. 23. Vidal A. 4. Sosa J. 28. Rojas J. 8. Madrid A. 5. Mendez V. 26. Ulloa D. 24. Hernandez L. 10. Pastran L. 19. Romero M.	25. Perez Kirby S. A. (C) 29. Garguez Gomez I. A. 2. Espinoza Hevia V. A. 3. Roco E. 28. Zuniga D. 8. Meza N. 23. Leon J. 15. Montes Romero F. T. 18. Gallegos S. 27. Munder C. 9. Fernandez R.
Substitutes
6. Alarcon T. 22. Aquino C. 9. Correa J. 30. Cuevas Y. 13. Fernandez M. 7. Marchant F. 25. Maureira G. (G) 20. Mendez J. 21. Wiemberg E.	21. Araya M. 16. Bizama J. 7. Carrasco B. 4. Ceza Gavilan A. A. 5. Fernandez J. 6. Meza F. 1. Salas S. (G) 24. Salgado D. 20. Tapia Paez G.
Coaches
Ortiz F.	Munoz C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
25', Roco E. 🟨,
33', 0 - 1, Zuniga D. ⚽, Fernandez R. (A),
45+1', Hernandez L. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Hernandez L. ↓, Aquino C. ↑,
46', Romero M. ↓, Correa J. ↑,
54', Gallegos S. 🟨,
55', Vidal A. 🟨,
55', 🟨,
63', Vidal A. ↓, Marchant F. ↑,
68', Leon J. ↓, Araya M. ↑,
69', Fernandez R. ↓, Tapia Paez G. ↑,
69', Munder C. ↓, Salgado D. ↑,
70', Sosa J. ↓, Fernandez M. ↑,
70', De Paul F. ↓, Maureira G. ↑,
83', Roco E. ↓, Meza F. ↑,
85', Meza N. ↓, Fernandez J. ↑,
87', Salgado D. 🟨,

Preview

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: ) and 12).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Colo-Colo won 2.

Colo-Colo has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Palestino has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Palestino may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Colo-Colo is a strong favorite.

We predict that Colo-Colo will win today's game, with odds of 1.65.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Colo-Colo won 10 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 33:20. (average 1.7:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Colo-Colo won 6 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 15:6. (average 1.5:0.6).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Colo Colo	23	17	3	3	48:22	26	54
5	Palestino	23	11	3	9	36:33	3	36

Last Results with these Odds

Colo-Colo - the odds 1.62 are the expected chance of winning is 57.54%, but this team recently wins 71% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Colo-Colo
Chilean Primera Division
05.04.26	Deportes Concepción - Colo-Colo	0:1 ✺
Chilean Copa de la Liga
01.04.26	Colo-Colo - Huachipato	1:0 ✺
24.03.26	Deportes Concepción - Colo-Colo	1:3 ✺
21.03.26	Colo-Colo - Coquimbo Unido	1:1 ✺
Chilean Primera Division
16.03.26	Colo-Colo - Huachipato	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 WWWTW
- CD Palestino Santiago
Copa Sudamericana
14.04.26	Palestino - Montevideo City Torque	0:2 ✺
Chilean Primera Division
11.04.26	Palestino - Deportes Limache	1:0 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
08.04.26	Deportivo Riestra - Palestino	0:0 ✺
Chilean Primera Division
02.04.26	Universidad Católica - Palestino	6:1 ✺
Chilean Copa de la Liga
30.03.26	Palestino - OHiggins	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 LWTLL

Latest Head to Head

Chilean Primera Division
22.08.25	Palestino - Colo-Colo	0:0
27.03.25	Colo-Colo - Palestino	1:1
20.10.24	Palestino - Colo-Colo	2:3
19.05.24	Colo-Colo - Palestino	2:0
08.10.23	Palestino - Colo-Colo	1:0
Chilean Cup
02.08.23	Colo-Colo - Palestino	1:0
Chilean Primera Division
23.04.23	Colo-Colo - Palestino	3:1

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