Match Info

Copa Libertadores - Group Stage - Round 1

Date: 1 April 2025, Tuesday 🏁 Finished

Location: Castelão (Fortaleza) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Benitez J. (Par)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	StarTimes App
Argentina	21:30	Disney+, Fox Sports
Asia	—	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 2, TOD
Australia	11:30	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Bosnia And Herzegovina	02:30	Arena Sport 1
Brazil	21:30	Amazon Prime Video, Paramount+
Bulgaria	03:30	Max Sport 4
Canada	20:30	beIN Connect, beIN Sports
Croatia	02:30	Arena Sport 3, MAXtv To Go
Greece	03:30	COSMOTE Sport 3
Indonesia	07:30	Mola TV
Israel	03:30	Sport 3
Italy	02:30	Como TV
Mexico	18:30	Disney+, ESPN 2
North Central America	—	ESPN 5 Norte
Poland	02:30	Polsat Sport 2
Portugal	01:30	Sport TV1
South America	—	ESPN 7 Latin America, ESPN7 South
Spain	02:30	beIN Sports
Turkey	03:30	Exxen, S Sport 2, S Sport, S Sport+
Usa	20:30	beIN Connect, beIN Sports, Fanatiz, Fubo Sports Network
Venezuela	20:30	Inter
International	00:30	Disney+


	Fortaleza		Racing

	1	X	2
	2.4	2.88	3.3	Watch
	2.15	3.25	3.3
	2.4	3	3.2	Watch
	2.5	3.03	3.13	Watch
	2.15	3	3.5	Watch
	2.43	2.92	3.35	Watch
	2.4	3	3.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.35 ↑ (2.12)	3.01 ↓ (3.25)	3.28 ↓ (3.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

Watch this match and Copa Libertadores with fuboTV (for US customers)

Network on TV: beIN SPORTS

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Fortaleza
40.1%

Draw
31.2%

Racing
28.7%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

43.9%

28.7%

27.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44%

28.6%

27.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fortaleza has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

Racing has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fortaleza than the current prediction. (+3.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Racing than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	66.7%	0%

Fortaleza - Racing Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Fortaleza will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Joao Ricardo (G) 22. Yago Pikachu 23. David Luiz 13. Kuscevic B. 4. Titi (C) 16. Diogo Barbosa 88. Lucas Sasha 5. Fernandez P. 8. Emmanuel Martinez 11. Marinho 9. Lucero J.	21. Arias G. (C) 3. Di Cesare M. 13. Sosa S. 23. Colombo N. 15. Martirena Torres G. N. 5. Nardoni J. 32. Almendra A. E. 27. Rojas G. 10. Vietto L. 9. Adrian Martinez 7. Salas M.
Substitutes
19. Allanzinho 77. Andrade K. 12. Brenno (G) 6. Bruno Pacheco 10. Calebe 18. Deyverson 39. Gustavo Mancha 14. Mancuso E. 20. Matheus Rossetto 21. Moises 7. Pochettino T. 17. Ze Welison	77. Balboa A. 16. Barrios M. 25. Cambeses F. (G) 41. Degregorio R. M. 24. Fernandez A. 2. Garcia A. 20. German Conti 34. Mura F. 35. Quiros S. 19. Rodriguez I. 26. Sanchez R. 28. Solari S.
Coaches
Vojvoda J.	Costas G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
26', 0 - 1, Salas M. ⚽, Colombo N. (A),
37', Di Cesare M. 🟨,
45+2', Salas M. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Emmanuel Martinez ↓, Pochettino T. ↑,
49', 0 - 2, Almendra A. E. ⚽,
55', Kuscevic B. 🟨,
55', Yago Pikachu ↓, Moises ↑,
55', Titi ↓, Mancuso E. ↑,
56', Lucas Sasha ↓, Calebe ↑,
65', Almendra A. E. ↓, Barrios M. ↑,
66', Vietto L. ↓, Solari S. ↑,
70', Marinho ↓, Deyverson ↑,
74', Nardoni J. 🟨,
82', Martirena Torres G. N. ↓, Mura F. ↑,
82', Salas M. ↓, Rodriguez I. ↑,
84', 0 - 3, Sosa S. ⚽, Rojas G. (A),
87', Adrian Martinez ↓, Balboa A. ↑,

Preview

Fortaleza is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Racing is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Racing could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Fortaleza will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Fortaleza EC
Brazilian Serie A
29.03.25	Fortaleza - Fluminense	2:0 ✺
Brazilian Copa do Nordeste
26.03.25	Fortaleza - CRB Maceio	0:1 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Cearense
22.03.25	Ceará - Fortaleza	1:1 ✺
Brazilian Copa do Nordeste
19.03.25	Sousa - Fortaleza	2:1 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Cearense
15.03.25	Fortaleza - Ceará	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 WLTLL
- Racing Club de Avellaneda
Argentinian Liga Profesional
27.03.25	Independiente Rivadavia - Racing	2:1 ✺
Copa Argentina
23.03.25	Racing - Santamarina de Tandil	2:0 ✺
Argentinian Liga Profesional
20.03.25	Unión Santa Fe - Racing	0:1 ✺
16.03.25	Independiente - Racing	1:1 ✺
08.03.25	Racing - Huracán Buenos Aires	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 LWWTL

Upcoming Matches