Match Info

Segunda RFEF - Group 5 - Round 5

Date: 4 October 2025, Saturday


	Colonia Moscardó		San Sebastian Reyes

	1	X	2
	3.1	3.1	2.15
	3	3	2.15
	3.05	3.05	2.18
	3.55	3.18	2.11
	3.79	2.16	2.83	Watch
	3.16	3.1	2.27
	3.05	3	2.16
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.24 ↑ (3)	2.94 ↓ (3)	2.26 ↑ (2.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Colonia Moscardó
28.3%

Draw
31.2%

San Sebastian Reyes
40.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30%

40%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.5%

40.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Colonia Moscardó has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

San Sebastian Reyes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Colonia Moscardó than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Sebastian Reyes than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

Colonia Moscardó - San Sebastian Reyes Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
78', 0 - 1, Ruiz F. ⚽,

Preview

Moscardó has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

SS Reyes has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Moscardó may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

SS Reyes could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Moscardó won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:2. (average 1:1).

Including home match between the teams, Moscardó won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.

Last Results with these Odds

Colonia Moscardó - the odds 3 are the expected chance of winning is 30%, but this team recently wins 22% of matches with these odds.

San Sebastian Reyes - the odds 2.25 are the expected chance of winning is 40%, but this team recently wins 73% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Colonia Moscardó
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
28.09.25	Coria - Colonia Moscardó	5:0 ✺
20.09.25	Colonia Moscardó - Alcalá	1:1 ✺
14.09.25	Socuéllamos - Colonia Moscardó	0:2 ✺
06.09.25	Colonia Moscardó - Real Madrid C	1:2 ✺
Club Friendly
27.08.25	Gimnástica Segoviana - Colonia Moscardó	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 LTWLL
- San Sebastian Reyes
Spanish Copa Federacion
01.10.25	San Sebastian Reyes - Deportivo Toledo	0:1 ✺
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
28.09.25	Rayo Majadahonda - San Sebastian Reyes	2:1 ✺
21.09.25	San Sebastian Reyes - Navalcarnero	3:1 ✺
Spanish Copa Federacion
17.09.25	Varea - San Sebastian Reyes	1:2 ✺
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
14.09.25	Fuenlabrada - San Sebastian Reyes	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 LLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
26.01.25	Colonia Moscardó - San Sebastian Reyes	1:1
15.09.24	San Sebastian Reyes - Colonia Moscardó	1:1

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