The best margin for this event is 5.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Colonia Moscardó 21.1%
Draw 26.9%
Fuenlabrada 52%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
29.3%
29.8%
40.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
28.1%
28.5%
42.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Colonia Moscardó has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.2%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Colonia Moscardó's form might have worsened.
Fuenlabrada has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.1%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Fuenlabrada's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Colonia Moscardó than the current prediction. (+7%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Colonia Moscardó, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fuenlabrada than the current prediction. (-9.3%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Fuenlabrada, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Colonia Moscardó - Fuenlabrada Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
31', 1 - 0, Perez I. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
55', Llorente E. 🟨,
85', 2 - 0, Bravo Fernandez M. (Penalty Awarded),
90+4', 3 - 0, Sennouni M. (Penalty Awarded),
Preview
The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
Fuenlabrada is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
In the last 1 head-to-head match, Moscardó won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:3.