Match Info

Segunda RFEF - Group 5 - Round 19

Date: 17 January 2026, Saturday

Location: Estadio Fernando Torres (Fuenlabrada)


	Fuenlabrada		Coria

	1	X	2
	2.15	3.1	3.1
	2.15	2.98	3.2
	2.23	2.87	3.45	Watch
	2.2	2.7	3.4
	2.18	2.88	3.42
	2.16	2.85	3.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.18 ↓ (2.21)	2.9 ↓ (3.17)	3.36 ↑ (3.13)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Fuenlabrada
41.7%

Draw
31.3%

Coria
27%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.6%

29%

29.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.3%

29.5%

28.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fuenlabrada has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

Coria has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fuenlabrada than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Coria than the current prediction. (+1.9%)

Fuenlabrada - Coria Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 2)
84', 0 - 1, Bautista M. ⚽,
87', 0 - 2, Perez A. ⚽,
90+3', 1 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 13 in the zone Segunda RFEF ~ Play Out (Play Out: ) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs).

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Fuenlabrada is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Fuenlabrada won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 0:4. (average 0:2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CF Fuenlabrada
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
11.01.26	Fuenlabrada - Tenerife B	1:1 ✺
04.01.26	Alcalá - Fuenlabrada	0:0 ✺
20.12.25	Fuenlabrada - Elche Ilicitano	1:1 ✺
13.12.25	Rayo Majadahonda - Fuenlabrada	1:0 ✺
07.12.25	Fuenlabrada - Quintanar del Rey	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 TTTLW
- CD Coria
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
11.01.26	Coria - Quintanar del Rey	0:0 ✺
04.01.26	Navalcarnero - Coria	1:1 ✺
20.12.25	Coria - Alcalá	1:1 ✺
14.12.25	Elche Ilicitano - Coria	1:1 ✺
07.12.25	Coria - Tenerife B	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 TTTTW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
19.10.25	Coria - Fuenlabrada	2:0
Spanish Copa del Rey
12.11.22	Coria - Fuenlabrada	2:0

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