Match Info

SPAIN: TERCERA RFEF - GROUP 7 - ROUND 9

Date: 5 November 2023, Sunday


	Colonia Moscardó		Galapagar

	1	X	2
	1.9	3.2	3.5
	2.06	3.03	3.44
	2.06	3.03	3.44
	1.95	3.25	3.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.99 ↓ (2.04)	3.13 ↓ (3.15)	3.48 ↑ (3.13)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 10.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Colonia Moscardó
45.3%

Draw
28.8%

Galapagar
25.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.5%

28.1%

28.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.1%

27.1%

27.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Colonia Moscardó has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

Galapagar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Colonia Moscardó than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Galapagar than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

Colonia Moscardó - Galapagar Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Moscardó is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Galapagar is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Moscardó could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Moscardó will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Moscardó won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Moscardó won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Colonia Moscardó
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 7
28.10.23	Leganés B - Colonia Moscardó	2:2 ✺
22.10.23	Colonia Moscardó - Parla	0:1 ✺
14.10.23	Alcalá - Colonia Moscardó	2:0 ✺
07.10.23	Colonia Moscardó - Torrejón	1:1 ✺
01.10.23	Alcorcón B - Colonia Moscardó	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.6 TLLTL
- CD Galapagar
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 7
29.10.23	Galapagar - Trival Valderas	0:2 ✺
22.10.23	Las Rozas - Galapagar	0:1 ✺
15.10.23	Galapagar - Collado Villalba	2:2 ✺
07.10.23	Rayo Vallecano B - Galapagar	4:1 ✺
30.09.23	Leganés B - Galapagar	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.4 LWTLT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 7
10.04.22	Colonia Moscardó - Galapagar	1:2
08.12.21	Galapagar - Colonia Moscardó	2:1

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