Match Info

MLS

Date: 23 May 2026, Saturday

Location: Dick's Sporting Goods Park (Commerce City, CO)

Referee: Elfath I. (Usa)

Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	MLS Season Pass
World	Apple TV International


	Colorado Rapids		FC Dallas

	1	X	2
	2.15	3.8	3	Watch
	2.3	3.6	2.75
	2.28	3.7	2.98	Watch
	2.27	3.82	3.07
	2.2	3.73	3.03	Watch
	2.15	3.5	2.9
	2.28	3.79	3.05	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.23 ↓ (2.28)	3.71 ↓ (3.88)	2.97 ↑ (2.76)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Colorado Rapids
42.5%

Draw
25.6%

FC Dallas
31.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.4%

24.3%

34.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.9%

26.4%

31.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Colorado Rapids has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

FC Dallas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Colorado Rapids than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for FC Dallas than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	16.7%	16.7%

Colorado Rapids - FC Dallas Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Colorado will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Dallas will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
41. Hansen N. (G) 4. Cannon R. 6. Holding R. 22. Herrington L. 99. Travis J. 12. Atencio J. 13. Frederick W. 93. Minoungou G. 10. Aaronson P. 9. Rafael Navarro (C) 77. Yapi D.	40. Sirois J. (G) 14. Johansson H. 25. Ibeagha S. 18. Moore S. 8. Delgado P. 55. Kaick 17. Ramiro (C) 6. Binyamin R. 21. Valiente J. 23. Farrington L. 10. Moreno S.
Substitutes
31. Beaudry A. (G) 24. Cobb N. 11. Manyoma A. 29. Navarro M. 8. Ojediran H. 20. Ronan C. 2. Rosenberry K. 7. Sealy D. 33. Thompson K.	5. Abubakar L. 12. Cappis C. 30. Collodi M. (G) 15. Louis R. 32. Norris N. 28. Sarver S. 16. Simmonds N. 27. Swann C. 24. Torquato J.
Coaches
Wells M.	Quill E.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
12', 0 - 1, Farrington L. (Penalty Awarded),
13', 1 - 1, Aaronson P. ⚽, Minoungou G. (A),
45', 1 - 2, Moreno S. (Penalty Awarded),
45+4', Herrington L. 🟨,
45+4', Farrington L. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Travis J. ↓, Navarro M. ↑,
49', Delgado P. 🟨,
59', Frederick W. ↓, Ronan C. ↑,
65', Delgado P. ↓, Cappis C. ↑,
65', Johansson H. ↓, Sarver S. ↑,
65', Moreno S. ↓, Norris N. ↑,
70', Navarro M. 🟨,
73', Aaronson P. 🟨,
75', Minoungou G. ↓, Manyoma A. ↑,
75', Holding R. ↓, Sealy D. ↑,
81', Cannon R. ↓, Rosenberry K. ↑,
83', Farrington L. ↓, Simmonds N. ↑,
84', Ramiro ↓, Swann C. ↑,
90+1', Sarver S. 🟨,

Preview

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 11 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Colorado won 2.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Colorado may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

There will not play in Colorado: Ku-DiPietro T. (Shoulder Injury) Steffen Z. (Upper-Body Injury)

There will not play in Dallas: Geovane Jesus (Knee Injury) Julio Santos A. A. (Leg Injury) Kamungo B. (Calf Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Colorado won 8 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 29:28. (average 1.5:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Colorado won 7 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 19:7. (average 2.1:0.8).

Last Results with these Odds

Colorado Rapids - the odds 2.28 are the expected chance of winning is 41.43%, but this team recently wins 80% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Colorado Rapids
US Open Cup
20.05.26	Colorado Rapids - San Jose Earthquakes	2:0 ✺
MLS
16.05.26	Real Salt Lake - Colorado Rapids	2:1 ✺
13.05.26	Minnesota United - Colorado Rapids	0:1 ✺
09.05.26	Colorado Rapids - St. Louis City	0:1 ✺
02.05.26	Houston Dynamo - Colorado Rapids	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.7 WLWLL
- FC Dallas
MLS
16.05.26	San Jose Earthquakes - FC Dallas	2:3 ✺
13.05.26	FC Dallas - Vancouver Whitecaps	2:3 ✺
09.05.26	FC Dallas - Real Salt Lake	3:1 ✺
02.05.26	New York Red Bulls - FC Dallas	0:2 ✺
25.04.26	Seattle Sounders - FC Dallas	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.9 WLWWL

Latest Head to Head

MLS
20.09.25	FC Dallas - Colorado Rapids	3:1
01.03.25	Colorado Rapids - FC Dallas	3:3
31.08.24	FC Dallas - Colorado Rapids	2:3
20.04.24	Colorado Rapids - FC Dallas	2:1
14.10.23	FC Dallas - Colorado Rapids	1:1
08.07.23	Colorado Rapids - FC Dallas	2:1
01.10.22	Colorado Rapids - FC Dallas	1:0

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