The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
New York Red Bulls 40.6%
Draw 25.5%
FC Dallas 33.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
46.4%
25.2%
28.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
48.7%
24%
27.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
New York Red Bulls has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that New York Red Bulls's form might have worsened.
FC Dallas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting FC Dallas's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for New York Red Bulls than the current prediction. (+8.1%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for New York Red Bulls, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for FC Dallas than the current prediction. (-6.7%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for FC Dallas, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
42.9%
0%
57.1%
New York Red Bulls - FC Dallas Predictions
Users Predictions:
7 users predict this event. NY Red Bulls will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%). Dallas will win (votes: 4 - 57.1%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
34. Horvath E. (G) 20. Mina J. 12. Nealis D. 26. Parker T. 56. Dos Santos M. 48. Donkor R. 15. Mehmeti A. 10. Forsberg E. (C) 7. Cowell C. 16. Hall J. 11. Ruvalcaba J.
30. Collodi M. (G) 18. Moore S. 3. Urhoghide O. 32. Norris N. 14. Johansson H. 55. Kaick 17. Ramiro (C) 6. Binyamin R. 21. Valiente J. 9. Musa P. 10. Moreno S.
Substitutes
39. Benedetti N. 4. Berggren G. 13. Choupo-Moting E. M. 3. Marshall-Rutty J. 77. McCarthy J. (G) 79. Mosquera R. 37. Sofo M. 5. Valencia O. 6. Voloder R.
5. Abubakar L. 12. Cappis C. 8. Delgado P. 23. Farrington L. 25. Ibeagha S. 28. Sarver S. 16. Simmonds N. 40. Sirois J. (G) 27. Swann C.
Coaches
Bradley M.
Quill E.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
31', Collodi M. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
54', 0 - 1, Musa P. ⚽, Binyamin R. (A),
66', Mina J. ↓, Marshall-Rutty J. ↑,
66', Forsberg E. ↓, Benedetti N. ↑,
66', Cowell C. ↓, Mosquera R. ↑,
68', Binyamin R. ↓, Ibeagha S. ↑,
68', Musa P. ↓, Cappis C. ↑,
76', Donkor R. ↓, Sofo M. ↑,
80', Moreno S. ↓, Sarver S. ↑,
80', Valiente J. ↓, Farrington L. ↑,
84', Hall J. ↓, Choupo-Moting E. M. ↑,
88', 0 - 2, Sarver S. ⚽, Farrington L. (A),
89', Sarver S. 🟨,
90+4', Kaick ↓, Swann C. ↑,
Preview
Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 11 and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, NY Red Bulls won 3.
Recent form of NY Red Bulls has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Dallas's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
Dallas may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
NY Red Bulls might have a minor edge in this game.
In the last 12 head-to-head matches, NY Red Bulls won 7 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 20:8. (average 1.7:0.7).
Including home matches between the teams, NY Red Bulls won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 14:5. (average 2:0.7).
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Horvath E. (G) 
Mina J. 
Donkor R. 
Forsberg E. (C) 
Ruvalcaba J. 
Urhoghide O. 
Kaick 
Binyamin R. 
Valiente J. 
Musa P. 
Benedetti N. 
Choupo-Moting E. M. 
Marshall-Rutty J. 
Mosquera R. 
Voloder R. 
Delgado P. 
Simmonds N. 
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