The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
San Jose Earthquakes 49.6%
Draw 24.9%
FC Dallas 25.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
61.7%
21.1%
17.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
63.7%
20.4%
16.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
San Jose Earthquakes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.1%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that San Jose Earthquakes's form might have worsened.
FC Dallas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.4%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting FC Dallas's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Jose Earthquakes than the current prediction. (+14.1%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for San Jose Earthquakes, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for FC Dallas than the current prediction. (-8.9%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for FC Dallas, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
85.7%
14.3%
0%
San Jose Earthquakes - FC Dallas Predictions
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
AH +0.25 - Dallas (2.04) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
San Jose Earthquakes will win
(6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%). Confidence interval (95%): 59.78% – 100%.
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Dallas (votes: 1 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
42. Daniel (G) 28. Kikanovic B. 18. Roberts R. 5. Munie D. 17. Jasinski J. 14. Vieira R. (C) 6. Harkes I. 7. Bouda O. 34. Leroux B. 2. Ricketts J. 19. Judd P.
40. Sirois J. (G) 18. Moore S. 3. Urhoghide O. 32. Norris N. 14. Johansson H. 55. Kaick 17. Ramiro (C) 21. Valiente J. 10. Moreno S. 9. Musa P. 8. Delgado P.
Substitutes
32. Adimabua N. 21. Buck N. 22. Crockford N. (G) 20. Fernandez N. 25. Floriani M. 40. Gonzalez Mendoza J. A. 3. Marie P. 4. Romney D. 16. Skahan J.
5. Abubakar L. 6. Binyamin R. 12. Cappis C. 30. Collodi M. (G) 23. Farrington L. 25. Ibeagha S. 28. Sarver S. 27. Swann C. 24. Torquato J.
Coaches
Arena B.
Quill E.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
1', 0 - 1, Delgado P. ⚽,
17', 1 - 1, Leroux B. ⚽,
41', Leroux B. (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (1 - 2)
48', Munie D. 🟨,
49', 1 - 2, Musa P. ⚽, Johansson H. (A),
61', Ramiro 🟨,
65', Musa P. ↓, Farrington L. ↑,
70', Delgado P. ↓, Cappis C. ↑,
70', Moreno S. ↓, Binyamin R. ↑,
71', Jasinski J. ↓, Fernandez N. ↑,
79', Ricketts J. ↓, Skahan J. ↑,
79', Harkes I. ↓, Marie P. ↑,
81', 2 - 2, Roberts R. ⚽,
84', Valiente J. ↓, Sarver S. ↑,
84', Ramiro ↓, Ibeagha S. ↑,
85', Kikanovic B. 🟨,
90+1', Norris N. 🟨,
90+2', Cappis C. 🟨,
90+4', 2 - 3, Sarver S. ⚽, Kaick (A),
90+5', Daniel 🟨,
Preview
One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, San Jose won 2.
Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
In this match, San Jose is seen as the favorite.
There will not play in San Jose: Edwards E.
(Injury)
Jones D.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
Tsakiris N.
(Injury)
Vitor Costa
(Lower-Body Injury)
Werner T.
(Injury)
There will not play in Dallas: Geovane Jesus
(Knee Injury)
Julio Santos A. A.
(Leg Injury)
Kamungo B.
(Calf Injury)
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, San Jose won 6 matches, drew 11 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 32:28. (average 1.6:1.4).
Including home matches between the teams, San Jose won 3 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 18:15. (average 1.6:1.4).
Finland
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Daniel (G) 
Kikanovic B. 
Vieira R. (C) 
Bouda O. 
Sirois J. (G) 
Urhoghide O. 
Johansson H. 
Valiente J. 
Moreno S. 
Musa P. 
Delgado P. 
Adimabua N. 
Gonzalez Mendoza J. A. 
Marie P. 
Abubakar L. 
Binyamin R. 
