Match Info

USA: MLS

Date: 16 September 2023, Saturday

Location: Dick's Sporting Goods Park (Commerce City)

Referee: Mendoza R. (Usa)


	Colorado Rapids		New England Revolution

	1	X	2
	2	3.6	3.5	Watch
	2.05	3.6	3.4	Watch
	2.04	3.89	3.56
	1.95	3.4	3.1	Watch
	1.98	3.72	3.52	Watch
	2	3.65	3.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	2 ↓ (2.59)	3.64 ↑ (3.45)	3.43 ↑ (2.47)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Colorado Rapids
46.9%

Draw
25.8%

New England Revolution
27.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.8%

26.8%

37.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.1%

26.3%

38.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Colorado Rapids has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Colorado Rapids's performance.

New England Revolution has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and New England Revolution might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Colorado Rapids than the current prediction. (-11.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Colorado Rapids that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for New England Revolution than the current prediction. (+10.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that New England Revolution could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	12.5%	37.5%

Colorado Rapids - New England Revolution Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Colorado will win (votes: 4 - 50%). New England will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Colorado: 15.4% – 84.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Ilic M. (G) 2. Rosenberry K. 5. Maxso A. (C) 64. Bombito M. 13. Gutman A. 23. Bassett C. 20. Ronan C. 10. Tavares S. 91. Cabral K. 9. Rafael Navarro 14. Harris C.	36. Edwards E. (G) 88. Farrell A. 3. Gonzalez O. 2. Romney D. 24. Jones D. 14. Harkes I. 28. Kaye M. 23. Gil I. 10. Gil C. (C) 5. Chancalay T. 9. Vrioni G.
Substitutes
33. Beitashour S. 29. Galvan B. A. 7. Lewis J. 15. Leyva D. 28. Nicholson S. 97. Priso-Mbongue R. 26. Rodriguez A. (G) 11. Rubio D. 4. Wilson D.	47. Bajraktarevic E. 18. Boateng E. 29. Buck N. 98. Jackson J. (G) 6. Makoun C. 26. McNamara T. 72. Rivera Brown D. E. 44. Sweat B. 17. Wood B.
Coaches
Little C.	Peay C.

Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and outsider (ranked 14 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Colorado won 1.

Colorado has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches New England is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

New England could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Colorado have a series of guest games.

Colorado will have a poor advantage in this game.

There will not play in Colorado: Max (Injury) Price J. (Achilles Tendon Injury)

There will not play in New England: Borrero D. (Knee Injury) Kessler H. (Muscle Injury) Maciel L. (Achilles Tendon Injury)

There are questionable in Colorado: Gersbach A. (Injury)

Last 12 head-to-head matches Colorado won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 12-20.

Including matches at home between the teams Colorado won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 5-6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Colorado Rapids
MLS
02.09.23	Real Salt Lake - Colorado Rapids	2:0 ✺
30.08.23	Minnesota United - Colorado Rapids	3:0 ✺
23.08.23	Los Angeles - Colorado Rapids	4:0 ✺
CONCACAF League Cup
31.07.23	Toluca - Colorado Rapids	4:1 ✺
23.07.23	Nashville SC - Colorado Rapids	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- New England Revolution
MLS
09.09.23	Minnesota United - New England Revolution	1:1 ✺
02.09.23	New England Revolution - Austin FC	2:2 ✺
30.08.23	New England Revolution - New York Red Bulls	1:0 ✺
26.08.23	CF Montréal - New England Revolution	1:0 ✺
CONCACAF League Cup
07.08.23	Querétaro - New England Revolution	2:1 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 TTWLL

Latest Head to Head

MLS
27.10.21	New England Revolution - Colorado Rapids	1:0
Club Friendly
12.02.20	New England Revolution - Colorado Rapids	3:1
MLS
04.07.19	Colorado Rapids - New England Revolution	1:2
10.03.18	New England Revolution - Colorado Rapids	2:1
04.03.17	Colorado Rapids - New England Revolution	1:0
Visit Tucson Sun Cup
18.02.17	New England Revolution - Colorado Rapids	1:3
MLS
03.09.16	New England Revolution - Colorado Rapids	2:0

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