Match Info

NORTH & CENTRAL AMERICA: Leagues Cup - Play Offs - 1/8-finals

Date: 13 August 2024, Tuesday

Location: Estadio Nemesio Díez (Toluca)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Toluca		Colorado Rapids

	1	X	2
	2.63	3.5	2.55	Watch
	2.5	3.3	2.35
	2.65	3.5	2.45	Watch
	2.87	3.6	2.6
	2.78	3.32	2.57	Watch
	2.61	3.66	2.51	Watch
	2.65	3.5	2.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.67 ↑ (2.5)	3.48 ↑ (3.3)	2.5 (2.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 1.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Toluca
35.3%

Draw
27%

Colorado Rapids
37.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.3%

27.5%

36.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.3%

28.3%

37.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Toluca has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

Colorado Rapids has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

The ML Model estimate for Toluca aligns with the current prediction.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Colorado Rapids than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
71.4%	28.6%	0%

Toluca - Colorado Rapids Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Toluca will win (votes: 5 - 71.4%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 28.6%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Tiago Volpi (G) 8. Orrantia C. 4. Bruno Mendez 13. Luan 17. Garcia Caprizo B. A. 24. Amaya F. 14. Ruiz M. 7. Dominguez Chonteco J. P. 10. Angulo J. 16. Meneses J. 26. Paulinho	95. Steffen Z. (G) 2. Rosenberry K. 6. Abubakar L. 5. Maxso A. 3. Vines S. 23. Bassett C. 18. Larraz O. 14. Harris C. 10. Mihailovic D. 7. Lewis J. 9. Rafael Navarro
Substitutes
198. Arteaga V. 23. Baeza C. 181. Beltran R. (G) 217. Castillo K. 27. Freyfeld E. 20. Gallardo J. 22. Garcia L. (G) 19. Lopez I. 31. Morales R. 25. Vega A. 184. Villegas A. 190. Violante I.	22. Anderson S. 41. Bandre E. (G) 31. Beaudry A. (G) 34. Edwards M. 11. Fernandez O. 24. Frederick W. 21. Loffelsend J. 20. Ronan C. 27. Stewart-Baynes K. 99. Travis J. 77. Yapi D.
Coaches
Alves R.	Armas C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
12', Mihailovic D. 🟨,
41', Amaya F. 🟨,
45', 0 - 1, Rafael Navarro ⚽, Vines S. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
60', Meneses J. ↓, Vega A. ↑,
60', Garcia Caprizo B. A. ↓, Gallardo J. ↑,
69', Amaya F. ↓, Baeza C. ↑,
69', Angulo J. ↓, Lopez I. ↑,
70', Harris C. ↓, Fernandez O. ↑,
70', Lewis J. ↓, Ronan C. ↑,
78', Orrantia C. ↓, Morales R. ↑,
83', 1 - 1, Paulinho ⚽, Gallardo J. (A),
86', Larraz O. ↓, Stewart-Baynes K. ↑,
86', Rafael Navarro ↓, Yapi D. ↑,
90+6', 1 - 2, Yapi D. ⚽,

Preview

Now both teams are in good shape.

Recently Toluca have a series of home games.

Recently Colorado have a series of guest games.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

There will not play in Colorado: Chacon D. (Knee Injury)

Last 2 head-to-head matches Toluca won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Toluca won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Deportivo Toluca
CONCACAF League Cup
09.08.24	Toluca - Houston Dynamo	3:2 penalties ✺
05.08.24	Toluca - Sporting Kansas City	2:1 ✺
01.08.24	Toluca - Chicago Fire	3:1 ✺
Mexican Liga MX
20.07.24	Cruz Azul - Toluca	1:1 ✺
17.07.24	Toluca - Mazatlan	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.6 WWWTW
- Colorado Rapids
CONCACAF League Cup
09.08.24	Juárez - Colorado Rapids	2:3 ✺
05.08.24	Club León - Colorado Rapids	1:2 penalties ✺
01.08.24	Portland Timbers - Colorado Rapids	4:0 ✺
MLS
20.07.24	Colorado Rapids - Real Salt Lake	3:2 ✺
17.07.24	Los Angeles Galaxy - Colorado Rapids	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 WWLWL

Latest Head to Head

CONCACAF League Cup
31.07.23	Toluca - Colorado Rapids	4:1

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