Match Info

MLS

Date: 14 June 2025, Saturday

Location: Dick's Sporting Goods Park (Commerce City, CO)

Where to Watch on TV:


Finland	Veikkaus TV
Usa	MLS Season Pass
World	EA Sports FC


	Colorado Rapids		Orlando City

	1	X	2
	2.75	3.6	2.45	Watch
	2.8	3.6	2.25
	3.05	3.65	2.22	Watch
	2.8	3.7	2.47
	2.88	3.62	2.27	Watch
	2.9	3.5	2.3
	2.8	3.66	2.5	Watch
	3.05	3.65	2.22
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.88 ↑ (2.48)	3.62 ↑ (3.28)	2.34 ↓ (2.78)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Colorado Rapids
33%

Draw
26.2%

Orlando City
40.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.8%

28.5%

33.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.7%

27.8%

32.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Colorado Rapids has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)

Orlando City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Orlando City's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Colorado Rapids than the current prediction. (+5.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Colorado Rapids, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Orlando City than the current prediction. (-7.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Orlando City, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	20%	60%

Colorado Rapids - Orlando City Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Colorado will win (votes: 1 - 20%). Orlando City will win (votes: 3 - 60%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTS - no (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
41. Defreitas-Hansen N. (G) 4. Cannon R. 5. Maxso A. 19. Murphy I. 3. Vines S. 21. Ku-DiPietro T. 12. Atencio J. 8. Larraz O. 10. Mihailovic D. 9. Rafael Navarro 77. Yapi D.	1. Gallese P. (G) 17. Thorhallsson D. 15. Schlegel R. 6. Jansson R. 4. Brekalo D. 87. Pasalic M. 35. Gerbet J. 20. Atuesta E. 77. Angulo I. 10. Ojeda M. 9. Muriel L.
Substitutes
6. Awaziem C. 23. Bassett C. 18. Bassett S. 31. Beaudry A. (G) 91. Cabral K. 14. Harris C. 20. Ronan C. 2. Rosenberry K. 99. Travis J.	5. Araujo C. 65. Caraballo G. 7. Enrique R. 25. Guske C. 12. Otero J. (G) 3. Rafael Santos 11. Rodriguez N. 24. Smith K. 96. Taifi Z.
Coaches
Armas C.	Pareja O.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
24', 0 - 1, Ojeda M. ⚽, Pasalic M. (A),
32', 🟨,
32', Schlegel R. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
58', Muriel L. ↓, Araujo C. ↑,
65', Larraz O. ↓, Bassett C. ↑,
65', Ku-DiPietro T. ↓, Harris C. ↑,
66', Cannon R. 🟨,
68', Bassett C. 🟨,
72', Thorhallsson D. ↓, Smith K. ↑,
72', Pasalic M. ↓, Enrique R. ↑,
77', Atencio J. ↓, Ronan C. ↑,
83', Yapi D. ↓, Bassett S. ↑,
84', Smith K. 🟨,
90+1', Atuesta E. ↓, Guske C. ↑,
90+1', Ojeda M. ↓, Rodriguez N. ↑,
90+2', Guske C. 🟨,

Preview

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 9 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals) and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Colorado won 1.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Orlando City may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Orlando City could have a small edge in this match.

There will not play in Colorado: Frederick W. (International duty)

There will not play in Orlando City: Cartagena W. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Freeman A. (International duty) Tsukada Y. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Colorado: Bassett C. (Ankle Injury) Fadal A. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Orlando City: Rodriguez N. (Thigh Injury)

In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Colorado won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 13:19. (average 1.3:1.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Colorado won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 9:6. (average 1.8:1.2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Colorado Rapids
MLS
07.06.25	Colorado Rapids - Austin FC	0:2 ✺
28.05.25	Portland Timbers - Colorado Rapids	2:1 ✺
24.05.25	Colorado Rapids - St. Louis City	1:0 ✺
17.05.25	Colorado Rapids - Real Salt Lake	1:0 ✺
14.05.25	San Diego - Colorado Rapids	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 LLWWL
- Orlando City
MLS
31.05.25	Orlando City - Chicago Fire	1:3 ✺
28.05.25	Atlanta United - Orlando City	3:2 ✺
24.05.25	Orlando City - Portland Timbers	1:0 ✺
US Open Cup
21.05.25	Orlando City - Nashville SC	2:3 ✺
MLS
18.05.25	Inter Miami - Orlando City	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12 LLWLW

Latest Head to Head

MLS
10.06.23	Orlando City - Colorado Rapids	2:0
13.07.22	Colorado Rapids - Orlando City	1:1
07.03.20	Colorado Rapids - Orlando City	2:1
06.04.19	Orlando City - Colorado Rapids	4:3
29.04.18	Colorado Rapids - Orlando City	1:2
29.04.17	Orlando City - Colorado Rapids	2:0
20.08.16	Colorado Rapids - Orlando City	0:0

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