Match Info

MLS

Date: 24 May 2025, Saturday

Location: Inter&Co Stadium (Orlando, FL)

Referee: Marrufo J. (Usa)

Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	MLS Season Pass
World	EA Sports FC


	Orlando City		Portland Timbers

	1	X	2
	1.57	4.5	5.25	Watch
	1.61	4.2	4.75
	1.62	4.5	5	Watch
	1.62	4.49	4.99
	1.63	4.37	4.82	Watch
	1.65	4	4.6
	1.62	4.45	4.74	Watch
	1.53	4.5	5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.61 ↓ (2.28)	4.38 ↑ (3.64)	4.89 ↑ (2.89)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 4%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Orlando City
59%

Draw
21.7%

Portland Timbers
19.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.4%

25.9%

32.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.1%

25.5%

32.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Orlando City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+17.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Orlando City's performance.

Portland Timbers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Portland Timbers might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Orlando City than the current prediction. (-16.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Orlando City that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Portland Timbers than the current prediction. (+12.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Portland Timbers could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
87.5%	12.5%	0%

Orlando City - Portland Timbers Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Orlando City will win (votes: 7 - 87.5%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Orlando City: 64.6% – 100%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1 - Orlando City (1.92) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Orlando City will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. Orlando City (votes: 7 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Gallese P. (G) 30. Freeman A. 15. Schlegel R. 6. Jansson R. (C) 4. Brekalo D. 87. Pasalic M. 20. Atuesta E. 5. Araujo C. 77. Angulo I. 13. McGuire D. 9. Muriel L.	16. Crepeau M. (G) 29. Mosquera J. 13. Zuparic D. 20. Surman F. 27. Fory J. 22. Fernandez O. 10. Pereira da Costa D. 24. Ayala D. 17. Paredes C. (C) 30. Moreno S. 19. Kelsy K.
Substitutes
7. Enrique R. 35. Gerbet J. 23. Mohammed S. 10. Ojeda M. 12. Otero J. (G) 3. Rafael Santos 24. Smith K. 96. Taifi Z. 17. Thorhallsson D.	11. Antony 5. Bravo C. 7. Lassiter A. 15. Miller E. 4. Miller K. 9. Mora F. 25. Muse T. (G) 80. Ortiz J. 23. Smith I.
Coaches
Pareja O.	Neville P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
39', 1 - 0, McGuire D. ⚽, Atuesta E. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Moreno S. ↓, Antony ↑,
66', Antony 🟨,
67', Fernandez O. ↓, Lassiter A. ↑,
67', Fory J. ↓, Bravo C. ↑,
67', Muriel L. ↓, Ojeda M. ↑,
68', McGuire D. ↓, Enrique R. ↑,
74', Angulo I. 🟨,
74', Kelsy K. ↓, Mora F. ↑,
78', Araujo C. ↓, Gerbet J. ↑,
78', Angulo I. ↓, Smith K. ↑,
86', Pasalic M. ↓, Thorhallsson D. ↑,
90+3', Zuparic D. 🟨,
90+5', Schlegel R. 🟨,
90+5', Jansson R. 🟨,

Preview

One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Orlando City won 1.

Orlando City is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Portland has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Portland may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Orlando City is seen as the favorite.

There will not play in Orlando City: Atuesta E. (Thigh Injury) Cartagena W. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Rodriguez N. (Injury) Tsukada Y. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Portland: Kelsy K. (Inactive) McGraw Z. (Back Injury) Pantemis J. (Leg Injury)

There are questionable in Portland: Chara D. (Inactive)

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Orlando City won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 12:10. (average 1.7:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Orlando City won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:3. (average 3.5:1.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Orlando City
US Open Cup
21.05.25	Orlando City - Nashville SC	2:3 ✺
MLS
18.05.25	Inter Miami - Orlando City	0:3 ✺
14.05.25	Orlando City - Charlotte	3:1 ✺
10.05.25	Orlando City - New England Revolution	3:3 ✺
US Open Cup
07.05.25	Tampa Bay Rowdies - Orlando City	0:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.7 LWWTW
- Portland Timbers
US Open Cup
20.05.25	San Jose Earthquakes - Portland Timbers	1:0 ET ✺
MLS
17.05.25	Portland Timbers - Seattle Sounders	1:1 ✺
14.05.25	Real Salt Lake - Portland Timbers	0:0 ✺
10.05.25	Portland Timbers - Sporting Kansas City	1:0 ✺
US Open Cup
06.05.25	Tacoma Defiance - Portland Timbers	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 LTTWW

Latest Head to Head

MLS
27.03.22	Portland Timbers - Orlando City	1:1
11.08.20	Portland Timbers - Orlando City	2:1
18.07.19	Portland Timbers - Orlando City	1:1
08.04.18	Orlando City - Portland Timbers	3:2
24.09.17	Portland Timbers - Orlando City	3:0
03.04.16	Orlando City - Portland Timbers	4:1
12.04.15	Portland Timbers - Orlando City	0:2

Upcoming Matches