The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Columbus Crew 2 35.2%
Draw 25.2%
New England Revolution II 39.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
31.4%
24.8%
43.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
32.1%
25.4%
42.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Columbus Crew 2 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)
New England Revolution II has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Columbus Crew 2 than the current prediction. (-3.1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for New England Revolution II than the current prediction. (+3.2%)
Columbus Crew 2 - New England Revolution II Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
54. Pruter L. (G) 33. Nyeman M. 22. Brown T. 31. Gbamble K. (C) 30. Rincon N. 64. Taylor O. 46. Adams C. 42. Adu-Gyamfi B. 36. Heffess I. 37. Aoki R. 68. Lloyd Z.
33. Parisian D. (G) 6. Dahlin G. (C) 15. Shannon J. 14. Smith T. 19. McIntosh D. 35. Oliveira C. 44. Azar L. 23. Mussenden J. 2. Smith J. 77. Wells M. 7. Zambrano M.
Substitutes
71. Danjaji J. 51. De Libera G. 63. Di Noto G. 62. Ewing I. 84. Forfor P. 75. Johnson M. 41. Lapkes S. (G)
10. Da J. 20. George S. 74. Katsell L. 4. Mbai Assem C. 3. Mimy S. 72. Prajapati A. 49. Quirino B. 17. Sasaki S. 27. Weinstein M. (G)
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
25', Gbamble K. 🟨,
27', Azar L. 🟨,
29', 0 - 1, Smith J. ⚽, Oliveira C. (A),
32', Nyeman M. 🟨,
34', Adams C. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Adams C. ↓, Danjaji J. ↑,
46', Nyeman M. ↓, De Libera G. ↑,
46', Taylor O. ↓, Forfor P. ↑,
64', Smith J. ↓, Mbai Assem C. ↑,
64', Zambrano M. ↓, Da J. ↑,
64', Smith T. ↓, Mimy S. ↑,
68', Brown T. ↓, Ewing I. ↑,
72', Mbai Assem C. 🟨,
74', Parisian D. 🟨,
78', Rincon N. 🟨,
85', Wells M. ↓, Prajapati A. ↑,
89', 1 - 1, Danjaji J. ⚽,
Penalties (3 - 5)
1, Shannon J. (Penalty Awarded),
1, Adu-Gyamfi B. (Penalty Awarded),
2, Mussenden J. (Penalty Awarded),
2, Danjaji J. (Penalty Awarded),
3, Da J. (Penalty Awarded),
3, Ewing I. (Penalty Awarded),
4, McIntosh D. (Penalty Awarded),
4, Gbamble K. (Penalty Awarded),
5, Azar L. (Penalty Awarded),
Preview
Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS Next Pro (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS Next Pro (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Columbus Crew 2 won 2.
Columbus Crew 2 has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
New England II has been on a rough run of results (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
New England II may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Columbus Crew 2 won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 30:17. (average 2.3:1.3).
Including home matches between the teams, Columbus Crew 2 won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 15:6. (average 2.5:1).
Last Results with these Odds
New England Revolution II - the odds 2.04 are the expected chance of winning is 43.81%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.