Match Info

ARGENTINA: LIGA PROFESIONAL - ROUND 13

Date: 21 April 2023, Friday

Location: Estadio Brigadier General Estanislao López (Santa Fe)

Referee: Herrera D. (Arg)


	Colón		Vélez Sársfield

	1	X	2
	2.3	3.25	3.2	Watch
	2.35	3.1	3.1
	2.42	3.15	3.15
	2.38	3.17	3.35
	2.34	3.14	3.22	Watch
	2.4	3.1	3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.37 ↓ (2.6)	3.15 ↑ (2.9)	3.17 ↑ (2.9)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Colón
40.1%

Draw
30.1%

Vélez Sársfield
29.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.8%

32.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.6%

31.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Colón has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)

Vélez Sársfield has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Colón than the current prediction. (-3.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vélez Sársfield than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
23.1%	69.2%	7.7%

Colón - Vélez Sársfield Predictions

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Colón will win (votes: 3 - 23.1%). Vélez will win (votes: 1 - 7.7%). It will Tie (votes: 9 - 69.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 44.1% – 94.3%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Colón has the most likely position - 24 (7.16%), project points - 31, currently - 11, a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Vélez has the most likely position - 11 (5.51%), project points - 37, currently - 15, a very small chance of win league (<1%).

This event has quality 41, very small importance 1, small match rating 21. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Last 5 head-to-head matches Colón won 2.

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph bor both teams are almost equal.

There will not play in Colón: Benitez J. (Injury) Farias F. (Injury)

There will not play in Vélez: Bou W. (Injury) Caseres S. (Injury) Garayalde N. (Injury) Janson L. (Red Card)

Last 14 head-to-head matches Colón won 4 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 13-20.

Including matches at home between the teams Colón won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 5-7.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CA Colón
Argentinian Liga Profesional
17.04.23	Platense - Colón	0:0 ✺
13.04.23	Colón - Talleres de Córdoba	2:2 ✺
09.04.23	Boca Juniors - Colón	1:2 ✺
02.04.23	Colón - Atlético Tucumán	0:0 ✺
18.03.23	Independiente - Colón	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.6 TTWTT
- Vélez Sársfield
Argentinian Liga Profesional
16.04.23	Vélez Sársfield - Barracas Central	0:0 ✺
11.04.23	Instituto Córdoba - Vélez Sársfield	1:0 ✺
07.04.23	Vélez Sársfield - Banfield	3:3 ✺
30.03.23	Defensa y Justicia - Vélez Sársfield	0:0 ✺
21.03.23	Vélez Sársfield - Central Córdoba	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 TLTTW

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
08.01.23	Vélez Sársfield - Colón	1:0
Argentinian Liga Profesional
11.07.22	Colón - Vélez Sársfield	2:1
Argentinian Copa de la Liga Profesional
09.05.22	Colón - Vélez Sársfield	1:2
Argentinian Liga Profesional
08.08.21	Vélez Sársfield - Colón	0:1
01.12.19	Vélez Sársfield - Colón	3:1
15.02.19	Vélez Sársfield - Colón	1:1
10.05.18	Colón - Vélez Sársfield	0:1

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