Match Info

ARGENTINA: COPA ARGENTINA - 1/32-FINALS

Date: 10 May 2023, Wednesday


	Barracas Central		Estudiantes de Caseros

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.2	2.9	3.1
	2.25	3.05	3.25
	2.4	2.97	3.14
	2.25	2.9	3.2
	2.23	3.13	3.26
	2.08	3.05	3.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.24 ↑ (1.63)	3 ↓ (3.33)	3.27 ↓ (5.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Barracas Central
41.2%

Draw
30.7%

Estudiantes de Caseros
28.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.1%

27.5%

16.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.1%

26.6%

15.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Barracas Central has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-14.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Barracas Central's form might have worsened.

Estudiantes de Caseros has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Estudiantes de Caseros's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Barracas Central than the current prediction. (+16.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Barracas Central, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Estudiantes de Caseros than the current prediction. (-12.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Estudiantes de Caseros, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
11.1%	66.7%	22.2%

Barracas Central - Estudiantes de Caseros Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Barracas Central will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%). CA Estudiantes will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 66.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 35.9% – 97.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Neutral location.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Barracas Central won 1.

Recent matches Barracas Central is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

CA Estudiantes is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Barracas Central will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 12 head-to-head matches Barracas Central won 3 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 14-17.

Including matches at home between the teams Barracas Central won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 9-8.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Barracas Central
Argentinian Liga Profesional
05.05.23	Barracas Central - Instituto Córdoba	3:0 ✺
29.04.23	Banfield - Barracas Central	0:0 ✺
24.04.23	Barracas Central - Defensa y Justicia	0:2 ✺
16.04.23	Vélez Sársfield - Barracas Central	0:0 ✺
11.04.23	Barracas Central - Platense	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.8 WTLTW
- CA Estudiantes de Caseros
Argentinian Primera Nacional
06.05.23	Independiente Rivadavia - Estudiantes de Caseros	2:1 ✺
29.04.23	Estudiantes de Caseros - Deportivo Maipú	0:0 ✺
22.04.23	Villa Dálmine - Estudiantes de Caseros	1:0 ✺
16.04.23	Estudiantes de Caseros - Deportivo Madryn	0:3 ✺
09.04.23	Atlético de Rafaela - Estudiantes de Caseros	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.9 LTLLT

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera Nacional
17.01.21	Estudiantes de Caseros - Barracas Central	3:2 penalties
01.03.20	Estudiantes de Caseros - Barracas Central	2:0
06.09.19	Barracas Central - Estudiantes de Caseros	3:4
Argentinian Primera B
20.04.19	Estudiantes de Caseros - Barracas Central	0:0
12.11.18	Barracas Central - Estudiantes de Caseros	2:1
31.03.18	Barracas Central - Estudiantes de Caseros	1:1
13.11.17	Estudiantes de Caseros - Barracas Central	1:0

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