The best margin for this event is 2.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Colón Montevideo 36.3%
Draw 32.4%
Oriental de La Paz 31.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
38.5%
29.4%
32.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
39.9%
30.4%
31%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Colón Montevideo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)
Oriental de La Paz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Colón Montevideo than the current prediction. (+3.6%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Oriental de La Paz than the current prediction. (-0.3%)
Colón Montevideo - Oriental de La Paz Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)
Preview
A mid-table host welcomes one of the top contenders in an exciting contest (ranked 6th and 3rd).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Colón won 0.
Colón is on a difficult losing run (last 5 matches: 0 wins).
Oriental is in good shape currently (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
Recently, Colón has faced a series of away games on the road.
In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.
In the last 7 head-to-head meetings, Colón has recorded 1 win, 3 draws, and 3 losses, with a goal aggregate of 5:4 (averaging 0.7:0.6 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Colón against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses, with 0:2 goals (averaging 0:0.7 per game).
Standings
Main
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
3
Oriental
21
8
8
5
29:22
7
32
6
Colon
21
8
6
7
20:23
-3
30
Last Results with these Odds
Colón Montevideo - the odds 2.33 are the expected chance of winning is 38.52%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.
Oriental de La Paz - the odds 2.8 are the expected chance of winning is 32.05%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.
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