The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Rentistas 45.8%
Draw 28.7%
Oriental de La Paz 25.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
43.1%
29.4%
27.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
44.3%
28.6%
26.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Rentistas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)
Oriental de La Paz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rentistas than the current prediction. (-1.5%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Oriental de La Paz than the current prediction. (+1.4%)
Rentistas - Oriental de La Paz Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 2)
85', 0 - 1, ⚽,
90+2', 0 - 2, ⚽,
Preview
An upper-table contender faces a competitive test against mid-table opposition (ranked 4th and 7th).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Rentistas won 1.
Rentistas has displayed good consistency in recent games (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
Performances by Oriental have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Oriental may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Rentistas holding a narrow advantage.
In the last 8 head-to-head meetings, Rentistas has recorded 3 wins, 1 draw, and 4 losses, with a goal aggregate of 10:9 (averaging 1.3:1.1 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Rentistas against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 1 draw, and 2 losses, with 3:3 goals (averaging 0.8:0.8 per game).
Standings
Main
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
2
Rentistas
21
9
6
6
26:23
3
33
3
Oriental
21
8
8
5
29:22
7
32
Last Results with these Odds
Rentistas - the odds 2.08 are the expected chance of winning is 43.07%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.
Oriental de La Paz - the odds 3.25 are the expected chance of winning is 27.56%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.
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