Match Info

BRAZIL: Copa Paulista - Play Offs - 1/8-finals

Date: 27 August 2024, Tuesday

Location: Estadio Palma Travassos (Ribeirao Preto)


	Comercial SP		EC Primavera

	1	X	2
				Watch
	3.46	2.67	2.29
	3.49	2.74	2.29	Watch
	3	2.88	2.25
	3.32	2.99	2.17
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.32 ↓ (3.64)	2.82 ↓ (3.18)	2.25 ↑ (1.96)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Comercial SP
27.4%

Draw
32.2%

EC Primavera
40.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25%

28.6%

46.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.3%

27.8%

47.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Comercial SP has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

EC Primavera has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and EC Primavera might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Comercial SP than the current prediction. (-3.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for EC Primavera than the current prediction. (+7.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that EC Primavera could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Comercial SP - EC Primavera Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
5', 1 - 0, Macena ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
81', Luciano 🟥,
84', 1 - 1, Joao Victor ⚽,

Preview

1st leg.

Recent matches Comercial SP is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Primavera is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Primavera will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Comercial SP won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Comercial SP won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Comercial de Ribeirão Preto
Brazilian Copa Paulista
17.08.24	Atlético Monte Azul - Comercial SP	2:1 ✺
12.08.24	Comercial SP - Botafogo SP B	0:0 ✺
04.08.24	Francana - Comercial SP	0:1 ✺
20.07.24	Comercial SP - Barretos	3:3 ✺
13.07.24	Comercial SP - Atlético Monte Azul	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 LTWTW
- EC Primavera
Brazilian Copa Paulista
17.08.24	São Bento - EC Primavera	1:1 ✺
10.08.24	EC Primavera - Red Bull Bragantino II	3:1 ✺
03.08.24	Capivariano - EC Primavera	0:0 ✺
20.07.24	EC Primavera - Rio Branco de Americana	3:2 ✺
13.07.24	EC Primavera - São Bento	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 TWTWW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A2
06.02.24	Comercial SP - EC Primavera	0:0
18.01.23	EC Primavera - Comercial SP	2:0
Brazilian Copa Paulista
02.12.20	Comercial SP - EC Primavera	3:1
28.11.20	EC Primavera - Comercial SP	0:0

Comercial SP - EC Primavera: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide