Match Info

ITALY: SERIE B - ROUND 14

Date: 25 November 2023, Saturday


	Como		FeralpiSalò

	1	X	2
	1.75	3.6	4.75	Watch
	1.71	3.6	4.8
	1.72	3.6	4.75	Watch
	1.79	3.6	5.15
	1.79	3.59	5.15
	1.5	3.8	6
	1.71	3.68	4.9	Watch
	1.72	3.65	4.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.71 ↑ (1.54)	3.64 ↓ (3.94)	5.03 ↓ (5.85)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Como
55.2%

Draw
26%

FeralpiSalò
18.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.4%

23.7%

15.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.5%

23.3%

15.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Como has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Como's form might have worsened.

FeralpiSalò has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Como than the current prediction. (+6.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Como, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for FeralpiSalò than the current prediction. (-3.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60%	30%	10%

Como - FeralpiSalò Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Como will win (votes: 6 - 60%). FeralpiSalò will win (votes: 1 - 10%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 30%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Como: 29.6% – 90.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Semper A. (G) 5. Curto M. 26. Odenthal C. 93. Barba F. 6. Iovine A. 14. Bellemo A. 8. Baselli D. 44. Ioannou N. 90. Verdi S. 33. Da Cunha L. 10. Cutrone P.	1. Pizzignacco S. (G) 66. Bergonzi F. 31. Camporese M. 87. Martella B. 70. Parigini V. 20. Zennaro M. 16. Fiordilino L. 8. Balestrero D. 94. Letizia G. 14. Compagnon M. 91. La Mantia A.
Substitutes
28. Abildgaard O. 11. Blanco A. 27. Cerri A. 7. Chajia M. 9. Gabrielloni A. 20. Kerrigan L. 94. Kone B. L. 99. Mustapha S. 3. Sala M. 4. Solini M. 80. Vignali L. 22. Vigorito M. (G)	9. Butic K. 11. Da Cruz A. 10. Di Molfetta D. 97. Felici M. 2. Ferrarini G. 27. Hergheligiu D. 39. Kourfalidis C. 34. Minelli S. (G) 99. Pietrelli A. 25. Sau M. 3. Tonetto M. 61. Volpe G. (G)
Coaches
Fabregas C.	Zaffaroni M.

Preview

This match will be played by one of a leader and an outsider (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 20 in the zone Relegation).

Recent matches Como is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

FeralpiSalò is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

In this match Como is a favorite.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Como won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 4-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Como won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Calcio Como
Italian Serie B
11.11.23	Ascoli - Como	0:1 ✺
04.11.23	Pisa - Como	1:1 ✺
28.10.23	Como - Catanzaro	1:0 ✺
20.10.23	Parma - Como	2:1 ✺
08.10.23	Como - Cremonese	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 WTWLL
- FeralpiSalò
Italian Serie B
11.11.23	FeralpiSalò - Bari	3:3 ✺
04.11.23	Nuova Cosenza - FeralpiSalò	1:1 ✺
28.10.23	FeralpiSalò - Reggiana	0:3 ✺
21.10.23	Catanzaro - FeralpiSalò	3:0 ✺
06.10.23	Brescia - FeralpiSalò	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 TTLLT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group A
21.02.15	Como - FeralpiSalò	1:1
05.10.14	FeralpiSalò - Como	0:2
Italian Lega Pro C1/A
02.03.14	Como - FeralpiSalò	1:0
27.10.13	FeralpiSalò - Como	1:0
24.02.13	Como - FeralpiSalò	0:2

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