Match Info

ITALY: SERIE B - ROUND 13

Date: 11 November 2023, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	Sky Sport


	Ascoli		Como

	1	X	2
	3	3	2.55	Watch
	2.9	3.1	2.5
	2.95	3	2.5	Watch
	3.24	3	2.6
	3.24	3.01	2.59
	2.8	3.1	2.4
	2.98	3.14	2.45	Watch
	3	3	2.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.01 ↑ (2.55)	3.04 ↓ (3.26)	2.51 ↓ (3.01)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ascoli
31.3%

Draw
31%

Como
37.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.1%

29.7%

32.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.3%

30.3%

32.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ascoli has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Ascoli's form might have worsened.

Como has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Como's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ascoli than the current prediction. (+6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Ascoli, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Como than the current prediction. (-4.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
26.7%	46.7%	26.7%

Ascoli - Como Predictions

Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Ascoli will win (votes: 4 - 26.7%). Como will win (votes: 4 - 26.7%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 46.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 21.5% – 71.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Barosi D. (G) 40. Bayeye B. J. 55. Bellusci G. 14. Quaranta D. 54. Falasco N. 10. Caligara F. 18. Di Tacchio F. 8. Giovane S. 23. Falzerano M. 30. Nestorovski I. 90. Mendes P.	1. Semper A. (G) 5. Curto M. 26. Odenthal C. 93. Barba F. 6. Iovine A. 14. Bellemo A. (C) 94. Kone B. L. 44. Ioannou N. 90. Verdi S. 10. Cutrone P. 33. Da Cunha L.
Substitutes
17. Adjapong C. 12. Bolletta L. (G) 33. Botteghin E. 15. D'Uffizi S. 5. Gnahore E. 3. Haveri K. 28. Manzari G. 73. Masini P. 20. Milanese T. 7. Millico V. 99. Rodriguez P. 96. Rossi E.	28. Abildgaard O. 8. Baselli D. 84. Cassandro T. 27. Cerri A. 7. Chajia M. 9. Gabrielloni A. 20. Kerrigan L. 99. Mustapha S. 3. Sala M. 23. Scaglia F. 4. Solini M. 22. Vigorito M. (G)
Coaches
Viali W.	Longo M.

Preview

Watch a game between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a team which is a leader now (ranked 15 and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Ascoli won 2.

The game of competitors is shaky now.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Ascoli won 3 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 11-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Ascoli won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ascoli Calcio
Italian Serie B
04.11.23	Bari - Ascoli	1:0 ✺
28.10.23	Ascoli - Parma	1:3 ✺
21.10.23	Lecco - Ascoli	0:2 ✺
07.10.23	Ascoli - Sampdoria	1:1 ✺
30.09.23	Brescia - Ascoli	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 LLWTT
- Calcio Como
Italian Serie B
04.11.23	Pisa - Como	1:1 ✺
28.10.23	Como - Catanzaro	1:0 ✺
20.10.23	Parma - Como	2:1 ✺
08.10.23	Como - Cremonese	1:3 ✺
01.10.23	Bari - Como	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 TWLLT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie B
22.04.23	Como - Ascoli	1:1
04.12.22	Ascoli - Como	3:3
13.02.22	Ascoli - Como	1:1
11.09.21	Como - Ascoli	0:1
20.02.16	Ascoli - Como	1:0
03.10.15	Como - Ascoli	0:4

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