Match Info

Serie A - Round 19

Date: 6 January 2026, Tuesday

Location: Arena Garibaldi - Stadio Romeo Anconetani (Pisa)

Referee: Pairetto L. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Pisa		Como

	1	X	2
	5	3.3	1.75	Watch
	4.6	3.6	1.77
	5.4	3.55	1.7	Watch
	5.23	3.47	1.76	Watch
	4.8	3.3	1.75
	5.37	3.53	1.83
	5.33	3.4	1.76
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.1 ↑ (4.77)	3.45 ↑ (3.38)	1.76 ↓ (1.77)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 1.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pisa
18.6%

Draw
27.5%

Como
53.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

19.6%

27.6%

52.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

19.1%

26.9%

54.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pisa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

Como has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pisa than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Como than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
5.8%	11.5%	82.7%

Pisa - Como Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .

O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 2 - 66.7%) .

AH +0.75 - Pisa (1.86) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - Pisa (2.02) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Como will win (43 of 50 users predict this - 86%).
Confidence interval (95%): 76.38% – 95.62%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Como will win (15 of 16 users predict this - 93.75%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 19 Selected Experts predict this event. Pisa (votes: 3 - 15.8%). Como (votes: 15 - 78.9%). Tie (votes: 1 - 5.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Semper A. (G) 26. Coppola F. 5. Canestrelli S. 4. Caracciolo Ant. (C) 15. Toure I. 6. Marin M. 20. Aebischer M. 36. Piccinini G. 3. Angori S. 10. Tramoni M. 18. Nzola M.	1. Butez J. (G) 28. Smolcic I. 14. Ramon J. 2. Kempf M. O. 3. Valle A. 23. Perrone M. 33. Da Cunha L. 19. Kuhn N. 10. Paz N. 17. Rodriguez J. 11. Douvikas A.
Substitutes
42. Bettazzi B. 94. Bonfanti G. 16. Buffon L. 33. Calabresi A. 44. Denoon D. 19. Esteves T. 8. Hojholt M. 7. Leris M. 99. Lorran 76. Mbambi J. 32. Moreo S. 12. Nicolas Andrade (G) 22. Scuffet S. (G)	20. Baturina M. 6. Caqueret M. 44. Cavlina N. (G) 99. Cerri A. 34. Diego Carlos 4. Dossena A. 55. Le Borgne A. 18. Moreno A. 27. Posch S. 8. Roberto S. 77. Van der Brempt I. 22. Vigorito M. (G) 31. Vojvoda M.
Coaches
Gilardino A.	Fabregas C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
22', Aebischer M. 🟨,
24', Da Cunha L. 🟨,
45', Ramon J. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 3)
63', Marin M. ↓, Leris M. ↑,
64', Tramoni M. ↓, Moreo S. ↑,
64', Smolcic I. ↓, Vojvoda M. ↑,
64', Da Cunha L. ↓, Caqueret M. ↑,
68', 0 - 1, Perrone M. ⚽, Caqueret M. (A),
76', 0 - 2, Douvikas A. ⚽, Rodriguez J. (A),
77', Piccinini G. ↓, Lorran ↑,
77', Aebischer M. ↓, Esteves T. ↑,
78', Kuhn N. ↓, Baturina M. ↑,
85', Nzola M. (Penalty Awarded),
86', Caracciolo Ant. ↓, Hojholt M. ↑,
88', Paz N. ↓, Roberto S. ↑,
88', Rodriguez J. ↓, Posch S. ↑,
90+6', Coppola F. 🟨,
90+6', 0 - 3, Douvikas A. (Penalty Awarded),

Preview

This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie B and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Pisa won 1.

Recent form of Pisa has been disappointing (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Como has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, Como is a strong favorite.

There will not play in Pisa: Akinsanmiro E. (International duty) Cuadrado J. (Thigh Injury) Stengs C. (Thigh Injury)

There will not play in Como: Diao A. (Thigh Injury) Goldaniga E. (Heel Injury) Morata A. (Injury)

There are questionable in Pisa: Albiol R. (Injury) Vural I. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Como: Addai J. (Thigh Injury)

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Pisa won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 10:9. (average 1.7:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Pisa won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:4. (average 2:1.3).

Outrights of Italian Serie A for now

Como: 6.53%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
8	Como	5	3	1	1	9:6	3	10

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AC Pisa
Italian Serie A
03.01.26	Genoa - Pisa	1:1 ✺
27.12.25	Pisa - Juventus	0:2 ✺
21.12.25	Cagliari - Pisa	2:2 ✺
12.12.25	Lecce - Pisa	1:0 ✺
08.12.25	Pisa - Parma	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 TLTLL
- Calcio Como
Italian Serie A
03.01.26	Como - Udinese	1:0 ✺
27.12.25	Lecce - Como	0:3 ✺
15.12.25	Roma - Como	1:0 ✺
06.12.25	Inter Milan - Como	4:0 ✺
28.11.25	Como - Sassuolo	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 WWLLW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie B
16.03.24	Como - Pisa	3:1
04.11.23	Pisa - Como	1:1
21.01.23	Como - Pisa	2:2
21.08.22	Pisa - Como	2:2
18.04.22	Pisa - Como	3:1
05.12.21	Como - Pisa	0:1

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