Match Info

Serie A - Round 5

Date: 27 September 2025, Saturday

Location: Stadio Giuseppe Sinigaglia (Como)

Referee: Di Bello M. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Albania	Tring Sport 1
Argentina	Disney+
Armenia	Fast Sports 1, Fast Sports
Asia	STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic
Australia	Amazon Prime Video, beIN Connect
Austria	DAZN
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Bulgaria	Max Sport 2
Canada	Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Canada
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Finland	MTV Katsomo, MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 3
France	DAZN France
Germany	Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Deutsch
Greece	COSMOTE Sport 2
Hong-kong	beIN SPORTS MAX, M Plus Live
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Indonesia	Vidio
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Japan	DAZN Japan
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Mexico	Disney+
New-zealand	beIN Connect
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Peru	Disney+
Portugal	Sport TV2
Romania	Prima Sport 4
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Serbia	Arena Sport 2
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Sweden	TV4 Play, TV4 Sportkanalen
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland
Turkey	S Sport 2, S Sport+, Tivibu Spor 1
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 4, MEGOGO Ukraine
United-kingdom	DAZN, DAZN UK
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	DAZN Espanol, DAZN USA, Paramount+
Venezuela	Disney+


	Como		Cremonese

	1	X	2
	1.42	4.5	7.5	Watch
	1.44	4.7	7.4	Watch
	1.46	4.58	7.66
	1.17	7.16	15.06	Watch
	1.49	4.79	7.18
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.4 ↓ (1.54)	5.15 ↑ (4.07)	8.96 ↑ (6.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 1.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Como
70.1%

Draw
19%

Cremonese
10.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61.8%

23.5%

14.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67.3%

25.6%

13.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Como has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Como's performance.

Cremonese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Como than the current prediction. (-2.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cremonese than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
70.7%	17.1%	12.2%

Como - Cremonese Predictions

Users Predictions: 41 users predict this event. Como will win (votes: 29 - 70.7%). Cremonese will win (votes: 5 - 12.2%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 17.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Como: 56.8% – 84.6%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 20 Selected Experts predict this event. Como (votes: 13 - 65%). Cremonese (votes: 1 - 5%). Tie (votes: 6 - 30%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1.25 - Como (1.98) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +0.5 - Cremonese (2.85) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

EH +1 - Cremonese (2.58) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 23 Selected Experts predict this event. Como (votes: 14 - 60.9%). Cremonese (votes: 3 - 13%). Tie (votes: 6 - 26.1%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Butez J. (G) 27. Posch S. 34. Diego Carlos 14. Ramon J. 3. Valle A. 23. Perrone M. 8. Roberto S. (C) 19. Kuhn N. 10. Paz N. 17. Rodriguez J. 11. Douvikas A.	16. Silvestri M. (G) 24. Terracciano F. 6. Baschirotto F. 15. Bianchetti M. (C) 7. Zerbin A. 32. Payero M. 33. Grassi A. 38. Bondo W. 3. Pezzella G. 90. Bonazzoli F. 11. Johnsen D.
Substitutes
42. Addai J. 20. Baturina M. 6. Caqueret M. 44. Cavlina N. (G) 99. Cerri A. 33. Da Cunha L. 5. Goldaniga E. 2. Kempf M. O. 7. Morata A. 18. Moreno A. 28. Smolcic I. 22. Vigorito M. (G) 31. Vojvoda M.	1. Audero E. (G) 4. Barbieri T. 23. Ceccherini F. 30. Faye M. 22. Floriani R. 55. Folino F. 48. Lordkipanidze D. 69. Nava L. (G) 99. Sanabria A. 19. Sarmiento J. 27. Vandeputte J. 10. Vardy J. 20. Vazquez F.
Coaches
Fabregas C.	Nicola D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
9', Baschirotto F. 🟨,
21', Roberto S. ↓, Da Cunha L. ↑,
29', Perrone M. 🟨,
32', 1 - 0, Paz N. ⚽, Rodriguez J. (A),
34', Ramon J. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Ramon J. ↓, Kempf M. O. ↑,
46', Zerbin A. ↓, Floriani R. ↑,
46', Kuhn N. ↓, Addai J. ↑,
62', Payero M. 🟨,
64', Payero M. ↓, Vazquez F. ↑,
64', Johnsen D. ↓, Sanabria A. ↑,
66', Douvikas A. ↓, Caqueret M. ↑,
69', 1 - 1, Baschirotto F. ⚽, Vazquez F. (A),
77', Bonazzoli F. ↓, Vandeputte J. ↑,
82', Rodriguez J. 🟥,
85', Floriani R. 🟨,
87', Sanabria A. 🟨,
90+1', Paz N. ↓, Morata A. ↑,
90+1', Bondo W. ↓, Sarmiento J. ↑,
90+3', Da Cunha L. 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Como won 0.

Como is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Cremonese has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Como may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Como is the undeniable favorite.

There will not play in Como: Diao A. (Foot Injury) Dossena A. (Knee Injury) Van der Brempt I. (Injury)

There will not play in Cremonese: Collocolo M. (Muscle Injury) Moumbagna F. (Muscle Injury)

In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Como won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 13:24. (average 1.1:2).

Including home matches between the teams, Como won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 9:13. (average 1.5:2.2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Calcio Como
Coppa Italia
24.09.25	Como - Sassuolo	3:0 ✺
Italian Serie A
21.09.25	Fiorentina - Como	1:2 ✺
15.09.25	Como - Genoa	1:1 ✺
30.08.25	Bologna - Como	1:0 ✺
24.08.25	Como - Lazio	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 WWTLW
- US Cremonese
Italian Serie A
21.09.25	Cremonese - Parma	0:0 ✺
15.09.25	Verona - Cremonese	0:0 ✺
29.08.25	Cremonese - Sassuolo	3:2 ✺
23.08.25	Milan - Cremonese	1:2 ✺
Coppa Italia
16.08.25	Cremonese - Palermo	0:1 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 22.6 TTWWL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie B
09.03.24	Cremonese - Como	2:1
08.10.23	Como - Cremonese	1:3
06.05.22	Como - Cremonese	1:2
15.01.22	Cremonese - Como	2:0
Italian Serie C Group A
04.04.17	Cremonese - Como	3:1
20.11.16	Como - Cremonese	2:2
Coppa Italia Serie C
02.11.16	Como - Cremonese	1:0

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