Match Info

Serie A - Round 5

Date: 27 September 2025, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Stadio Giuseppe Sinigaglia (Como) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Di Bello M. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Albania	15:00	Tring Sport 1
Argentina	10:00	Disney+
Armenia	17:00	Fast Sports 1, Fast Sports
Asia	—	STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic
Australia	23:00	Amazon Prime Video, beIN Connect
Austria	15:00	DAZN
Bosnia And Herzegovina	15:00	Arena Sport 2
Brazil	10:00	Disney+
Bulgaria	16:00	Max Sport 2
Canada	09:00	Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Canada
China	21:00	Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Croatia	15:00	Arena Sport 4, MAXtv To Go
Denmark	15:00	TV2 Play
Finland	16:00	MTV Katsomo, MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 3
France	15:00	DAZN France
Germany	15:00	Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Deutsch
Greece	16:00	COSMOTE Sport 2
Hong Kong	21:00	beIN SPORTS MAX, M Plus Live
Hungary	15:00	Net4+
Indonesia	20:00	Vidio
Italy	15:00	214 DAZN Zona, DAZN Italia, SKY Go Italia
Japan	22:00	DAZN Japan
Macao	21:00	Macau Cable TV 34 Football
Malaysia	21:00	Astro Arena 2, Astro Go, Sooka
Malta	15:00	GO TV, TSN Malta 3
Mexico	07:00	Disney+
New Zealand	01:00	beIN Connect
Norway	15:00	VG+
Peru	08:00	Disney+
Portugal	14:00	Sport TV2
Romania	16:00	Prima Sport 4
Russia	16:00	MATCH! Futbol 1, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
Saudi Arabia	16:00	STC TV
Serbia	15:00	Arena Sport 2
South Korea	22:00	SPOTV Now, SPOTV Prime
Spain	15:00	DAZN Espana
Sweden	15:00	TV4 Play, TV4 Sportkanalen
Switzerland	15:00	DAZN Switzerland
Turkey	16:00	S Sport 2, S Sport+, Tivibu Spor 1
Ukraine	16:00	MEGOGO Futbol 4, MEGOGO Ukraine
United Kingdom	14:00	DAZN, DAZN UK
Uruguay	10:00	Disney+
Usa	09:00	DAZN Espanol, DAZN USA, Paramount+
Venezuela	09:00	Disney+


	Como		Cremonese

	1	X	2
	1.42	4.5	7.5	Watch
	1.44	4.7	7.4	Watch
	1.46	4.58	7.66
	1.17	7.16	15.06	Watch
	1.49	4.79	7.18
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.4 ↓ (1.54)	5.15 ↑ (4.07)	8.96 ↑ (6.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 1.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Como
70.1%

Draw
19%

Cremonese
10.9%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

61.8%

23.5%

14.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67.3%

25.6%

13.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Como has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Como's performance.

Cremonese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Como than the current prediction. (-2.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cremonese than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
70.7%	17.1%	12.2%

Como - Cremonese Predictions

Users Predictions: 41 users predict this event. Como will win (votes: 29 - 70.7%). Cremonese will win (votes: 5 - 12.2%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 17.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Como: 56.8% – 84.6%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 20 Selected Experts predict this event. Como (votes: 13 - 65%). Cremonese (votes: 1 - 5%). Tie (votes: 6 - 30%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1.25 - Como (1.98) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +0.5 - Cremonese (2.85) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

EH +1 - Cremonese (2.58) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 23 Selected Experts predict this event. Como (votes: 14 - 60.9%). Cremonese (votes: 3 - 13%). Tie (votes: 6 - 26.1%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Butez J. (G) 27. Posch S. 34. Diego Carlos 14. Ramon J. 3. Valle A. 23. Perrone M. 8. Roberto S. (C) 19. Kuhn N. 10. Paz N. 17. Rodriguez J. 11. Douvikas A.	16. Silvestri M. (G) 24. Terracciano F. 6. Baschirotto F. 15. Bianchetti M. (C) 7. Zerbin A. 32. Payero M. 33. Grassi A. 38. Bondo W. 3. Pezzella G. 90. Bonazzoli F. 11. Johnsen D.
Substitutes
42. Addai J. 20. Baturina M. 6. Caqueret M. 44. Cavlina N. (G) 99. Cerri A. 33. Da Cunha L. 5. Goldaniga E. 2. Kempf M. O. 7. Morata A. 18. Moreno A. 28. Smolcic I. 22. Vigorito M. (G) 31. Vojvoda M.	1. Audero E. (G) 4. Barbieri T. 23. Ceccherini F. 30. Faye M. 22. Floriani R. 55. Folino F. 48. Lordkipanidze D. 69. Nava L. (G) 99. Sanabria A. 19. Sarmiento J. 27. Vandeputte J. 10. Vardy J. 20. Vazquez F.
Coaches
Fabregas C.	Nicola D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
9', Baschirotto F. 🟨,
21', Roberto S. ↓, Da Cunha L. ↑,
29', Perrone M. 🟨,
32', 1 - 0, Paz N. ⚽, Rodriguez J. (A),
34', Ramon J. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Ramon J. ↓, Kempf M. O. ↑,
46', Zerbin A. ↓, Floriani R. ↑,
46', Kuhn N. ↓, Addai J. ↑,
62', Payero M. 🟨,
64', Payero M. ↓, Vazquez F. ↑,
64', Johnsen D. ↓, Sanabria A. ↑,
66', Douvikas A. ↓, Caqueret M. ↑,
69', 1 - 1, Baschirotto F. ⚽, Vazquez F. (A),
77', Bonazzoli F. ↓, Vandeputte J. ↑,
82', Rodriguez J. 🟥,
85', Floriani R. 🟨,
87', Sanabria A. 🟨,
90+1', Paz N. ↓, Morata A. ↑,
90+1', Bondo W. ↓, Sarmiento J. ↑,
90+3', Da Cunha L. 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Como won 0.

Como is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Cremonese has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Como may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Como is the undeniable favorite.

There will not play in Como: Diao A. (Foot Injury) Dossena A. (Knee Injury) Van der Brempt I. (Injury)

There will not play in Cremonese: Collocolo M. (Muscle Injury) Moumbagna F. (Muscle Injury)

In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Como won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 13:24. (average 1.1:2).

Including home matches between the teams, Como won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 9:13. (average 1.5:2.2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Calcio Como
Coppa Italia
24.09.25	Como - Sassuolo	3:0 ✺
Italian Serie A
21.09.25	Fiorentina - Como	1:2 ✺
15.09.25	Como - Genoa	1:1 ✺
30.08.25	Bologna - Como	1:0 ✺
24.08.25	Como - Lazio	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 WWTLW
- US Cremonese
Italian Serie A
21.09.25	Cremonese - Parma	0:0 ✺
15.09.25	Verona - Cremonese	0:0 ✺
29.08.25	Cremonese - Sassuolo	3:2 ✺
23.08.25	Milan - Cremonese	1:2 ✺
Coppa Italia
16.08.25	Cremonese - Palermo	0:1 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 22.6 TTWWL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie B
09.03.24	Cremonese - Como	2:1
08.10.23	Como - Cremonese	1:3
06.05.22	Como - Cremonese	1:2
15.01.22	Cremonese - Como	2:0
Italian Serie C Group A
04.04.17	Cremonese - Como	3:1
20.11.16	Como - Cremonese	2:2
Coppa Italia Serie C
02.11.16	Como - Cremonese	1:0

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