Match Info

Segunda RFEF - Group 1 - Round 7

Date: 17 October 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished


	Compostela		Atlético Astorga

	1	X	2
	1.61	3.50	4.60
	1.62	3.30	4.90
	1.61	3.55	5.70
	1.64	3.42	5.4	Watch
	1.59	3.50	5.60
	1.68	3.56	5.23
	1.64	3.40	5.00
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.63 ↓ (1.85)	3.46 ↑ (3.33)	5.2 ↑ (3.79)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Compostela
56.1%

Draw
26.4%

Atlético Astorga
17.5%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

48.9%

27.2%

23.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.1%

27.1%

23.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Compostela has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Compostela's performance.

Atlético Astorga has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Atlético Astorga might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Compostela than the current prediction. (-7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Compostela that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Astorga than the current prediction. (+6.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Atlético Astorga could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Compostela - Atlético Astorga Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Compostela (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 0)
1', 1 - 0, Buba ⚽,
22', 2 - 0, Peon U. ⚽,
38', 3 - 0, Gonzalez D. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
71', 3 - 1, Hoyos J. ⚽,
78', Palomeque 🟨,
90+3', 4 - 1, Gonzalez D. ⚽,

Preview

Two mid-table squads battle for vital points to solidify their season (ranked 11th and 13th in the Segunda RFEF - Play Out).

Both teams have shown inconsistent performances in recent matches.

Bookmakers give the edge to Compostela for this game.

In the last 4 head-to-head meetings, Compostela has recorded 2 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 8:6 (averaging 2:1.5 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Compostela against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with 6:1 goals (averaging 3:0.5 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Compostela	8	4	1	3	11:8	3	13
13	Atl. Astorga	8	2	1	5	11:12	-1	7

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SD Compostela
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
11.10.26	Coruxo - Compostela	0:1 ✺
04.10.26	Compostela - Real Oviedo B	1:2 ✺
27.09.26	Eibar B - Compostela	1:0 ✺
20.09.26	Compostela - Sestao	2:0 ✺
13.09.26	Portugalete - Compostela	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.9 WLLWT
- Atlético Astorga
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
10.10.26	Atlético Astorga - Ourense CF	4:0 ✺
03.10.26	Atlético Astorga - Amorebieta	0:1 ✺
26.09.26	Sestao - Atlético Astorga	2:0 ✺
19.09.26	Atlético Astorga - Marino de Luanco	3:0 ✺
13.09.26	Basconia - Atlético Astorga	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 WLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
07.05.16	Compostela - Atlético Astorga	4:1
19.12.15	Atlético Astorga - Compostela	1:1
28.03.15	Compostela - Atlético Astorga	2:0
08.11.14	Atlético Astorga - Compostela	4:1

Compostela - Atlético Astorga