Match Info

SPAIN: Segunda RFEF - Group 1 - Round 28

Date: 23 March 2025, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	TVG 2


	Compostela		Bergantiños

	1	X	2
	2.1	3.1	3.1
	1.95	3.1	3.8
				Watch
	1.97	3.14	3.89
	1.95	3.1	3.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.99 ↓ (2.86)	3.11 ↑ (3)	3.65 ↑ (2.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Compostela
45.7%

Draw
29.3%

Bergantiños
25%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.8%

30.3%

37.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.8%

31.2%

36.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Compostela has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Compostela's performance.

Bergantiños has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Bergantiños might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Compostela than the current prediction. (-12.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Compostela that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bergantiños than the current prediction. (+11.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Bergantiños could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Compostela - Bergantiños Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
41', 0 - 1, Alex Pachon ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
73', 0 - 2, Antanon L. (Pen),

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 15 in the zone Relegation and 6).

Compostela has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Bergantiños is in super shape now and in the last match got series of victories (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Bergantiños could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Compostela will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Compostela won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 9:5 (average 1.8:1).

Including matches at home between the teams Compostela won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1:1 (average 0.5:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SD Compostela
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
19.03.25	Compostela - Deportivo A Coruña B	0:3 ✺
16.03.25	Coruxo - Compostela	2:0 ✺
09.03.25	Compostela - Real Avilés	1:1 ✺
02.03.25	Guijuelo - Compostela	1:0 ✺
23.02.25	Compostela - Rayo Cantabria	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.1 LLTLL
- Bergantiños FC
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
16.03.25	Bergantiños - Valladolid B	3:2 ✺
09.03.25	Real Ávila - Bergantiños	0:1 ✺
01.03.25	Bergantiños - Gimnástica de Torrelavega	2:0 ✺
22.02.25	Laredo - Bergantiños	0:1 ✺
15.02.25	Bergantiños - Salamanca	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 23.7 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
09.11.24	Bergantiños - Compostela	0:4
19.03.23	Compostela - Bergantiños	0:0
30.10.22	Bergantiños - Compostela	1:2
19.02.22	Bergantiños - Compostela	3:2
02.10.21	Compostela - Bergantiños	1:1

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