Match Info

SPAIN: Copa Federacion - Semi-finals

Date: 16 October 2024, Wednesday


	Compostela		Poblense

	1	X	2
	2	2.95	3.4
	2.07	3	3.55
	2.1	2.99	3.47
	2.14	2.94	3.55	Watch
	2	2.9	3.5
	2.06	2.97	3.62
	2.07	3	3.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.06 ↑ (2.03)	2.96 ↓ (3.14)	3.52 ↑ (3.36)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Compostela
43.8%

Draw
30.5%

Poblense
25.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.4%

28.7%

26.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.8%

30.3%

25.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Compostela has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

Poblense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Compostela than the current prediction. (+3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Poblense than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

Compostela - Poblense Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
4', 1 - 0, De Prado S. ⚽,
44', 1 - 1, Pons A. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
51', 2 - 1, Barreiro M. ⚽,
68', 2 - 2, Pons A. ⚽,
88', 3 - 2, Cinta C. ⚽,

Preview

Recent matches Compostela is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Poblense in the latest match got series victories and it is in excellent form (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Poblense could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Compostela have a series of guest games.

Recently Poblense have a series of home games.

Compostela will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SD Compostela
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
13.10.24	Rayo Cantabria - Compostela	2:1 ✺
Spanish Copa Federacion
09.10.24	Sestao - Compostela	0:1 ✺
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
06.10.24	Compostela - Escobedo	1:2 ✺
Spanish Copa Federacion
03.10.24	Lealtad - Compostela	0:2 ✺
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
29.09.24	Marino de Luanco - Compostela	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21 LWLWW
- UD Poblense
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 11
12.10.24	Poblense - Migjorn	3:0 ✺
Spanish Copa Federacion
09.10.24	Poblense - La Nucía	1:0 ✺
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 11
05.10.24	PE Sant Jordi - Poblense	0:1 ✺
28.09.24	Poblense - Alcúdia	0:0 ✺
Spanish Copa Federacion
25.09.24	Poblense - Izarra	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.5 WWWTW

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