Match Info

SPAIN: Segunda RFEF - Group 1 - Round 18

Date: 12 January 2025, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	TVG 2


	Compostela		Numancia

	1	X	2
	3.2	2.8	2.25
	3.45	2.85	2.17
	3.18	2.97	2.29	Watch
	3.2	2.88	2.3
	3.4	2.91	2.25
	3.45	2.85	2.17
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.31 ↓ (3.33)	2.88 ↓ (3.14)	2.24 ↑ (2.16)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Compostela
27.5%

Draw
31.7%

Numancia
40.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.8%

29.4%

42.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.1%

28.7%

43.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Compostela has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

Numancia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Compostela than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Numancia than the current prediction. (+3.1%)

Compostela - Numancia Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 2)
80', 0 - 1, Jony ⚽,
87', 0 - 2, Dieste C. ⚽,
89', 1 - 2, Crespo P. ⚽,
90+8', 2 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 12 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Group 1 (Promotion Group: )).

Recent matches Compostela is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Numancia is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Compostela could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Numancia will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Compostela won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 1:7 (average 0.3:2.3).

Including matches at home between the teams Compostela won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1:2

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SD Compostela
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
21.12.24	Valladolid B - Compostela	1:0 ✺
15.12.24	Compostela - Real Ávila	0:0 ✺
08.12.24	Gimnástica de Torrelavega - Compostela	2:0 ✺
30.11.24	Compostela - Laredo	2:1 ✺
24.11.24	Salamanca - Compostela	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 LTLWT
- CD Numancia
Club Friendly
05.01.25	Numancia - Osasuna B	0:0 ✺
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
22.12.24	Real Avilés - Numancia	0:2 ✺
15.12.24	Numancia - Valladolid B	3:1 ✺
08.12.24	Numancia - Guijuelo	2:2 ✺
30.11.24	Real Ávila - Numancia	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 TWWTT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
01.09.24	Numancia - Compostela	2:0
25.04.21	Numancia - Compostela	3:0
03.04.21	Compostela - Numancia	1:2

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