Match Info

SPAIN: Segunda RFEF - Group 1 - Round 21

Date: 2 February 2025, Sunday


	Rayo Cantabria		Gimnástica de Torrelavega

	1	X	2
	1.9	3.2	3.5
	1.96	3.25	3.55
	2.02	3.2	3.79
	1.9	3.44	3.67	Watch
	1.92	3.44	3.69
	1.96	3.25	3.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.94 ↓ (2.03)	3.3 ↑ (3.15)	3.63 ↑ (3.53)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rayo Cantabria
47%

Draw
27.7%

Gimnástica de Torrelavega
25.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45%

29%

26%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.4%

21.5%

35%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rayo Cantabria has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

Gimnástica de Torrelavega has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rayo Cantabria than the current prediction. (-13.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Rayo Cantabria that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gimnástica de Torrelavega than the current prediction. (+9.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Gimnástica de Torrelavega could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Rayo Cantabria - Gimnástica de Torrelavega Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
85', 0 - 1, Primo ⚽,

Preview

In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 10 and 18 in the zone Relegation).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Rayo Cantabria won 2.

Rayo Cantabria is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Torrelavega has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Rayo Cantabria could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Rayo Cantabria won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 7:9 (average 1:1.3).

Including matches at home between the teams Rayo Cantabria won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2:2 (average 1:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Deportivo Rayo Cantabria
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
25.01.25	Laredo - Rayo Cantabria	2:1 ✺
18.01.25	Rayo Cantabria - Salamanca	1:2 ✺
12.01.25	Llanera - Rayo Cantabria	4:3 ✺
22.12.24	Bergantiños - Rayo Cantabria	3:3 ✺
14.12.24	Rayo Cantabria - Coruxo	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 LLLTT
- Gimnástica de Torrelavega
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
26.01.25	Gimnástica de Torrelavega - Escobedo	0:1 ✺
19.01.25	Marino de Luanco - Gimnástica de Torrelavega	2:0 ✺
12.01.25	Gimnástica de Torrelavega - Langreo	0:1 ✺
22.12.24	Gimnástica de Torrelavega - Deportivo A Coruña B	1:1 ✺
15.12.24	Pontevedra - Gimnástica de Torrelavega	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 LLLTL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
22.09.24	Gimnástica de Torrelavega - Rayo Cantabria	1:1
03.02.24	Rayo Cantabria - Gimnástica de Torrelavega	2:1
24.09.23	Gimnástica de Torrelavega - Rayo Cantabria	0:3
12.03.23	Gimnástica de Torrelavega - Rayo Cantabria	2:0
23.10.22	Rayo Cantabria - Gimnástica de Torrelavega	0:1
Club Friendly
13.08.22	Gimnástica de Torrelavega - Rayo Cantabria	2:1
Spanish Tercera Division - Play Offs
07.01.18	Gimnástica de Torrelavega - Rayo Cantabria	2:0

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