Match Info

SPAIN: Segunda RFEF - Group 1 - Round 19

Date: 19 January 2025, Sunday


	Pontevedra		Compostela

	1	X	2
	1.4	3.9	6.75
	1.4	4	7.4
	1.4	4.02	7.94	Watch
	1.39	4.2	8
	1.4	4	7.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.4 ↓ (1.66)	4.02 ↑ (3.45)	7.5 ↑ (4.93)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pontevedra
65.2%

Draw
22.6%

Compostela
12.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55%

26.5%

18.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.5%

24.9%

17.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pontevedra has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Pontevedra's performance.

Compostela has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Compostela might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pontevedra than the current prediction. (-6.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Pontevedra that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Compostela than the current prediction. (+5.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Compostela could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Pontevedra - Compostela Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
26', 1 - 0, Charly ⚽,
2nd Half (3 - 1)
65', 1 - 1, Rivas M. ⚽,
67', 2 - 1, Yelko Pino ⚽,
90', 3 - 1, de Almeida D. ⚽,
90+5', 4 - 1, Sanchez R. ⚽,

Preview

One of which is a team leader another one is from mid-table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Group 1 (Promotion Group: ) and 12).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Pontevedra won 2.

Pontevedra is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Compostela is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Compostela could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Pontevedra is the unquestionable favorite.

Last 11 head-to-head matches Pontevedra won 2 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 12:12 (average 1.1:1.1).

Including matches at home between the teams Pontevedra won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4:2 (average 1:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Pontevedra CF
Spanish Copa del Rey
15.01.25	Pontevedra - Getafe	0:1 ✺
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
12.01.25	Valladolid B - Pontevedra	0:0 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
03.01.25	Pontevedra - Mallorca	3:0 ✺
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
21.12.24	Real Ávila - Pontevedra	1:2 ✺
15.12.24	Pontevedra - Gimnástica de Torrelavega	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.7 LTWWW
- SD Compostela
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
12.01.25	Compostela - Numancia	2:2 ✺
21.12.24	Valladolid B - Compostela	1:0 ✺
15.12.24	Compostela - Real Ávila	0:0 ✺
08.12.24	Gimnástica de Torrelavega - Compostela	2:0 ✺
30.11.24	Compostela - Laredo	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 TLTLW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
08.09.24	Compostela - Pontevedra	2:2
14.04.24	Compostela - Pontevedra	2:2
03.12.23	Pontevedra - Compostela	3:0
Club Friendly
12.08.23	Compostela - Pontevedra	0:1
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
23.01.22	Compostela - Pontevedra	1:1
05.09.21	Pontevedra - Compostela	1:1
21.02.21	Pontevedra - Compostela	0:1

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