Match Info

Date: 14 November 2021, Sunday


	Compostela		Unión Adarve

	1	X	2
	2.2	3	3.1
	2.15	3.1	3.1
	2.15	3.15	3.05
	2.26	3.16	3.28
	2.21	3.18	3.18
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.19 (2.19)	3.12 ↑ (3.04)	3.14 (3.14)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Compostela
41.6%

Draw
29.3%

Unión Adarve
29.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.4%

29.8%

28.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.7%

19.9%

43.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Compostela has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

Unión Adarve has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Compostela than the current prediction. (-13.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Compostela that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Unión Adarve than the current prediction. (+14%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Unión Adarve could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Compostela - Unión Adarve Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

The great teams are gonna meet at this game. The most expected match between two teams from the very top of the group (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Group 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs) and 1 in the zone Promotion).

Compostela is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Unión Adarve is in a marvelous shape and in addition in the last match got series victories (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Compostela will have a mini benefit in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SD Compostela
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
07.11.21	Coruxo - Compostela	0:0 ✺
31.10.21	Compostela - Gimnástica Segoviana	2:0 ✺
23.10.21	Llanera - Compostela	1:2 ✺
17.10.21	Compostela - Marino de Luanco	1:1 ✺
10.10.21	Arenteiro - Compostela	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 TWWTT
- AD Unión Adarve
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
07.11.21	Unión Adarve - Pontevedra	2:1 ✺
31.10.21	Salamanca - Unión Adarve	0:1 ✺
24.10.21	Unión Adarve - Ceares	2:1 ✺
16.10.21	Langreo - Unión Adarve	1:1 ✺
10.10.21	Unión Adarve - Arosa	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13 WWWTW

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