Match Info

Segunda Division - Round 11

Date: 30 May 2025, Friday

Location: Atlético Municipal de Concón (Concón)


	Concón National		San Antonio Unido

	1	X	2
	2.25	3.2	2.75
	2.35	3.25	2.7
	2.66	3.21	2.5
	2.39	3.31	2.72	Watch
	2.36	3.15	2.71
	2.35	3.25	2.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.39 ↑ (2.12)	3.23 ↓ (3.25)	2.68 ↓ (3.24)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Concón National
38%

Draw
28.1%

San Antonio Unido
33.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.4%

28.3%

28.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.4%

27.7%

27.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Concón National has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Concón National's form might have worsened.

San Antonio Unido has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting San Antonio Unido's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Concón National than the current prediction. (+6.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Concón National, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for San Antonio Unido than the current prediction. (-6.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for San Antonio Unido, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Concón National - San Antonio Unido Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): San Antonio Unido will win (3 of 4 users predict this - 75%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Pizarro P. (G) 29. Andrade Moya J. 17. Araya K. 22. Gattas R. 26. Jopia Arias C. 8. Llanos J. 10. Ragusa F. 2. Rivera B. 12. Vargas L. 9. Vera V. 20. Wassenne M.	1. Veloso Espinoza N. (G) 9. Cuellar D. 10. Fernandez R. 5. Fiamengo D. 2. Hidalgo K. 20. Lara Collao M. A. 7. Lopes Acevedo M. 15. Pinilla Y. 3. Piro Y. 22. Riquelme A. 25. Sandoval M.
Substitutes
25. Cabrera Torres F. (G) 21. Davis G. 15. Garate Rojas P. 7. Leiton C. 24. Saavedra M. 23. Vega C. 11. Zuniga R.	16. Acevedo D. 30. Cabello S. (G) 28. Cereceda R. 31. Lucero N. 23. Melendez R. 14. Nunez D. 18. Tellas G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
2', 0 - 1, Cuellar D. ⚽,
29', 0 - 2, Lara Collao M. A. ⚽,
40', Wassenne M. ↓, Zuniga R. ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
59', Cuellar D. 🟨,
64', Ragusa F. ↓, Garate Rojas P. ↑,
64', Jopia Arias C. ↓, Davis G. ↑,
64', Llanos J. ↓, Vega C. ↑,
77', Vega C. 🟨,
78', Lara Collao M. A. ↓, Melendez R. ↑,
78', Sandoval M. ↓, Acevedo D. ↑,
82', Vargas L. ↓, Leiton C. ↑,
84', Fernandez R. ↓, Cereceda R. ↑,
84', Cuellar D. ↓, Tellas G. ↑,
84', Pinilla Y. ↓, Lucero N. ↑,
90+6', Fiamengo D. 🟨,
90+7', Davis G. 🟥,

Preview

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Segunda Division (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 9).

Concón National is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

San Antonio Unido has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Concón National won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:5. (average 1.5:2.5).

Including home match between the teams, Concón National won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Concón National
Chilean Segunda Division
25.05.25	Brujas Salamanca - Concón National	2:3 ✺
10.05.25	Concón National - Deportes Puerto Montt	0:0 ✺
27.04.25	Concón National - Provincial Ovalle	0:3 ✺
13.04.25	Concón National - Santiago City	5:0 ✺
05.04.25	Provincial Osorno - Concón National	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 24.4 WTLWW
- San Antonio Unido
Chilean Segunda Division
25.05.25	San Antonio Unido - Deportes Melipilla	3:2 ✺
03.05.25	San Antonio Unido - Provincial Osorno	1:2 ✺
26.04.25	Trasandino de Los Andes - San Antonio Unido	2:1 ✺
12.04.25	San Antonio Unido - Deportes Rengo	2:0 ✺
06.04.25	Brujas Salamanca - San Antonio Unido	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 WLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Chilean Segunda Division
12.07.24	San Antonio Unido - Concón National	3:2
05.03.24	Concón National - San Antonio Unido	1:2

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