Match Info

SPAIN: Tercera RFEF - Group 2 - Round 14

Date: 8 December 2024, Sunday


	Condal		Covadonga

	1	X	2
	5.75	3.9	1.46
	6	4.1	1.45
	5.4	4.05	1.48
	5.96	4.12	1.48
	5.96	4.1	1.45
	6	4.1	1.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.85 ↓ (8.57)	4.06 ↓ (4.5)	1.46 ↑ (1.32)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Condal
15.5%

Draw
22.4%

Covadonga
62.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

10.6%

20.3%

69.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

10.1%

19.3%

72.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Condal has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)

Covadonga has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Covadonga might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Condal than the current prediction. (-5.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Condal that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Covadonga than the current prediction. (+10.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Covadonga could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Condal - Covadonga Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
4', 0 - 1, Alonso B. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
53', 0 - 2, Fernandez I. ⚽,
76', 0 - 3, Elena A. ⚽,

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Condal
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 2
30.11.24	LEntregu - Condal	3:2 ✺
24.11.24	Condal - Lenense	1:1 ✺
17.11.24	Avilés Stadium - Condal	0:1 ✺
10.11.24	Condal - Mosconia	0:1 ✺
03.11.24	Praviano - Condal	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 LTWLL
- CD Covadonga
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 2
01.12.24	Covadonga - Sporting de Gijón B	0:0 ✺
24.11.24	Ceares - Covadonga	3:1 ✺
16.11.24	Covadonga - Colunga	3:0 ✺
10.11.24	Covadonga - Urraca	2:0 ✺
01.11.24	LEntregu - Covadonga	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 TLWWT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 2
01.04.23	Covadonga - Condal	4:0
04.12.22	Condal - Covadonga	0:3
09.02.20	Condal - Covadonga	0:2
22.09.19	Covadonga - Condal	4:2
17.04.19	Covadonga - Condal	4:0
02.12.18	Condal - Covadonga	3:3
Spanish Tercera Division - Play Offs
17.12.17	Covadonga - Condal	4:1

Condal - Covadonga: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide