Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 2 - Play Offs - Semi-finals

Date: 25 May 2025, Sunday


	Covadonga		Sporting de Gijón B

	1	X	2
	2.2	2.95	3
	2.8	2.95	2.5
	2.87	2.84	2.52
	2.83	2.99	2.5	Watch
	2.75	3.16	2.44
	2.8	2.95	2.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.71 ↑ (2.35)	2.97 ↓ (3.25)	2.58 ↓ (2.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Covadonga
33.8%

Draw
30.8%

Sporting de Gijón B
35.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.8%

28.1%

33.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.3%

29.2%

32%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Covadonga has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)

Sporting de Gijón B has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Covadonga than the current prediction. (+6.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Covadonga, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sporting de Gijón B than the current prediction. (-3.5%)

Covadonga - Sporting de Gijón B Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
63', 0 - 1, Yosmel Z. ⚽,
84', 🟥,

Preview

1st leg result: 0-2. 2nd leg.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Covadonga won 2.

Covadonga has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Sporting de Gijón B is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Covadonga won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 10:8. (average 1.3:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Covadonga won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:0. (average 1:0).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Covadonga
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 2
18.05.25	Sporting de Gijón B - Covadonga	2:0 ✺
11.05.25	Tuilla - Covadonga	0:3 ✺
04.05.25	Covadonga - San Martín	1:1 ✺
27.04.25	Caudal Deportivo - Covadonga	1:0 ✺
16.04.25	Covadonga - Condal	5:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 LWTLW
- Sporting de Gijón B
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 2
18.05.25	Sporting de Gijón B - Covadonga	2:0 ✺
11.05.25	Condal - Sporting de Gijón B	0:2 ✺
27.04.25	Sporting de Gijón B - Ceares	4:0 ✺
20.04.25	Colunga - Sporting de Gijón B	2:2 ✺
13.04.25	Sporting de Gijón B - Covadonga	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 WWWTL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 2
18.05.25	Sporting de Gijón B - Covadonga	2:0
13.04.25	Sporting de Gijón B - Covadonga	0:2
01.12.24	Covadonga - Sporting de Gijón B	0:0
19.02.23	Sporting de Gijón B - Covadonga	2:2
16.10.22	Covadonga - Sporting de Gijón B	1:0
05.01.22	Sporting de Gijón B - Covadonga	1:0
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
21.02.21	Sporting de Gijón B - Covadonga	3:3

Covadonga - Sporting de Gijón B: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide