Match Info

BRAZIL: SERIE C - FIRST STAGE - ROUND 14

Date: 22 July 2023, Saturday

Location: Batistão (Aracaju)


	Confiança		Operário Ferroviario

	1	X	2
	2.75	2.87	2.45
	2.75	2.75	2.65
	3.02	2.93	2.59
	2.8	2.75	2.45
	2.82	2.99	2.52	Watch
	2.75	2.95	2.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.82 ↑ (2.45)	2.87 ↑ (2.85)	2.53 ↓ (3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 5.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Confiança
32.3%

Draw
31.7%

Operário Ferroviario
36%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.4%

32.1%

30.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.1%

33.5%

29.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Confiança has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Confiança's form might have worsened.

Operário Ferroviario has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Operário Ferroviario's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Confiança than the current prediction. (+6.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Confiança, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Operário Ferroviario than the current prediction. (-6.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Operário Ferroviario, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	66.7%	33.3%

Confiança - Operário Ferroviario Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Operário PR will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Jeferson (G) 4. Adalberto (C) 18. Betinho 7. Cesinha 10. Dione 11. Edison Negueba 5. Fabio 6. Felippe Borges 2. Lenon 3. Raphael Rodrigues 9. Ricardo Bueno	1. Rafael Santos (C) 10. Alisson Taddei 3. Allan Godoi 6. Arthur Neves 7. Erik Bessa 11. Felipe Augusto 5. Indio 17. Rafael Oller 2. Savio 8. Vinicius Diniz 4. Willian Machado
Substitutes
13. Adryan 22. Leonardo David 16. Lucas Gabriel 23. Lucas Vieira 30. Marcos (G) 8. Pedro 17. Riquelmo 21. Roberson 15. Roque Junior 14. Salazar L. 19. Tcharlles 20. Willians	15. Alison 20. Cassinho 23. Dudu Scheit 13. Jonathan 21. Luidy 18. Luiz Henrique 16. Para 19. Rafhael Lucas 14. Ryan 12. Talles (G) 22. Yago Rocha

Preview

Enjoy watching a meeting between a mid-table team and a leading team (ranked 13 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C (Second stage: )).

Recent matches Confiança is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Operário Ferroviario in the latest match got series victories and it is in excellent form (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

In this match the chances to achieve triumph bor both teams are almost equal.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Confiança won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Confiança won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AD Confiança Aracaju
Brazilian Serie C
15.07.23	Brusque - Confiança	4:0 ✺
10.07.23	Confiança - Volta Redonda	0:1 ✺
01.07.23	Confiança - Ypiranga	1:1 ✺
24.06.23	Manaus - Confiança	3:3 ✺
17.06.23	América RN - Confiança	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 LLTTW
- Operário Ferroviario
Brazilian Serie C
16.07.23	Operário Ferroviario - Floresta	1:0 ✺
10.07.23	Remo - Operário Ferroviario	1:2 ✺
02.07.23	Figueirense - Operário Ferroviario	0:0 ✺
26.06.23	Operário Ferroviario - Aparecidense	1:0 ✺
18.06.23	Ypiranga - Operário Ferroviario	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.1 WWTWW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie B
25.09.21	Confiança - Operário Ferroviario	1:0
25.06.21	Operário Ferroviario - Confiança	0:0
11.01.21	Confiança - Operário Ferroviario	1:2
09.10.20	Operário Ferroviario - Confiança	1:1

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