Match Info

BRAZIL: SERIE C - FIRST STAGE - ROUND 11

Date: 2 July 2023, Sunday

Location: Estádio Orlando Scarpelli (Florianópolis)


	Figueirense		Operário Ferroviario

	1	X	2
	2.55	2.65	2.8
	2.5	2.7	3
	2.85	2.77	2.89
	2.7	2.55	2.7
	2.71	2.78	2.8	Watch
	2.65	2.7	2.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.66 ↑ (1.83)	2.69 ↓ (2.77)	2.84 ↓ (4.77)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Figueirense
34.2%

Draw
33.8%

Operário Ferroviario
32%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.9%

32.3%

18.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.8%

34.9%

17.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Figueirense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-14.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Figueirense's form might have worsened.

Operário Ferroviario has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Operário Ferroviario's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Figueirense than the current prediction. (+18.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Figueirense, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Operário Ferroviario than the current prediction. (-14.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Operário Ferroviario, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
11.1%	55.6%	33.3%

Figueirense - Operário Ferroviario Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Figueirense will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%). Operário PR will win (votes: 3 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 55.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 23.1% – 88.1%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Wilson (C) 9. Bernabe 3. Eduardo Rosado 2. Elias 23. Gledson 11. Gustavo Franca 19. Leo Artur 8. Leo Baiano 4. Mauricio 7. Nicolas 6. Rai Lopes	1. Rafael Santos (C) 10. Alisson Taddei 3. Allan Godoi 6. Arthur Neves 7. Erik Bessa 11. Felipe Augusto 5. Indio 2. Savio 8. Vinicius Diniz 9. Vinicius Popo 4. Willian Machado
Substitutes
14. Alves N. 20. Barba 10. Cesinha 18. Gabriel Conceicao 12. Gasparotto G. (G) 17. General B. 13. Leonardo Maia 15. l Peixoto 21. Matheus Claudino 5. Robson Alemao 25. Thiago Viana (G) 16. Vinicius Nucci	15. Alison 20. Cassio G. 21. Jean Carlos 13. Jonathan 19. Neto Costa 16. Para 17. Rafael Oller 14. Ryan 12. Talles (G) 22. Yago Rocha

Preview

Watch a game between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a team which is a leader now (ranked 11 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C (Second stage: )).

Recent matches Figueirense is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Operário Ferroviario is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Operário Ferroviario could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Figueirense won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 2-6.

Including matches at home between the teams Figueirense won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Figueirense
Brazilian Serie C
24.06.23	Remo - Figueirense	1:1 ✺
17.06.23	Brusque - Figueirense	0:1 ✺
12.06.23	Figueirense - Pouso Alegre	1:2 ✺
08.06.23	Figueirense - Ypiranga	2:0 ✺
05.06.23	São Bernardo - Figueirense	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 TWLWL
- Operário Ferroviario
Brazilian Serie C
26.06.23	Operário Ferroviario - Aparecidense	1:0 ✺
18.06.23	Ypiranga - Operário Ferroviario	0:2 ✺
11.06.23	Operário Ferroviario - CS Alagoano	1:0 ✺
07.06.23	Operário Ferroviario - Paysandu	0:0 ✺
02.06.23	América RN - Operário Ferroviario	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 WWWTL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie B
07.11.20	Figueirense - Operário Ferroviario	0:1
08.08.20	Operário Ferroviario - Figueirense	3:1
30.11.19	Figueirense - Operário Ferroviario	1:1
27.08.19	Operário Ferroviario - Figueirense	1:0

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