Match Info

BRAZIL: SERIE C - FIRST STAGE - ROUND 13

Date: 16 July 2023, Sunday

Location: Estádio Germano Krüger (Ponta Grossa)


	Operário Ferroviario		Floresta

	1	X	2
	1.46	3.6	6.5
	1.4	3.75	7.5
	1.48	3.79	8.03
	1.42	3.5	7
	1.46	3.8	7.3	Watch
	1.48	3.7	6.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.45 ↓ (1.5)	3.69 ↑ (3.6)	7.16 ↑ (6)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Operário Ferroviario
62.7%

Draw
24.6%

Floresta
12.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60%

25%

15%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.4%

23.7%

14.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Operário Ferroviario has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

Floresta has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Operário Ferroviario than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Floresta than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

Operário Ferroviario - Floresta Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Talles (G) 10. Alisson Taddei 3. Allan Godoi 6. Arthur Neves 11. Erik Bessa 5. Indio (C) 7. Rafael Oller 2. Savio 8. Vinicius Diniz 9. Vinicius Popo 4. Willian Machado	1. Ze Carlos (G) 3. Alisson 29. Esquerdinha 15. Lucas Alisson 25. Matheus Rocha 21. Rafael Carioca 8. Ricardinho (C) 7. Roldan 11. Romarinho 31. Thiago Alagoano 17. Vitao
Substitutes
15. Alison 20. Cassinho 21. Dudu Scheit 13. Jonathan Costa 17. Luidy 18. Luiz Henrique 23. Neto Costa 16. Para 19. Rafhael Lucas 14. Ryan 12. Sales Martins M. (G) 22. Yago Rocha	23. Buba 16. Davi Castro 12. Igor Campos (G) 2. Igor Carvalho 30. Kieza 26. Leilson 13. Lucas Oliveira 10. Marllon 28. Rodrigo

Preview

One of which is a team leader another one is from mid-table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C (Second stage: ) and 14).

Operário Ferroviario in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Floresta is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Operário Ferroviario is certain favorite.

Our prediction for today's Operário Ferroviario to win the game is with odds 1.55.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Operário Ferroviario
Brazilian Serie C
10.07.23	Remo - Operário Ferroviario	1:2 ✺
02.07.23	Figueirense - Operário Ferroviario	0:0 ✺
26.06.23	Operário Ferroviario - Aparecidense	1:0 ✺
18.06.23	Ypiranga - Operário Ferroviario	0:2 ✺
11.06.23	Operário Ferroviario - CS Alagoano	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.6 WTWWW
- Floresta EC
Brazilian Serie C
09.07.23	Pouso Alegre - Floresta	0:1 ✺
02.07.23	Floresta - Remo	0:0 ✺
24.06.23	Brusque - Floresta	2:0 ✺
18.06.23	Paysandu - Floresta	2:1 ✺
11.06.23	Floresta - Altos	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 WTLLT

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