Match Info

BRAZIL: Serie C - First stage - Round 12

Date: 7 July 2024, Sunday

Location: Estádio Estadual Lourival Baptista (Aracaju)

Referee: Guimaraes Junior I. (Bra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Claro TV+, DAZN Brasil, IT tv Plus, Nosso Futebol+, Sky+, Zapping


	Confiança		Ypiranga

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.5	2.75	2.8
	2.55	2.85	2.8
	2.7	2.92	2.92
	2.65	2.82	2.8	Watch
	2.5	2.8	2.7
	2.55	2.88	2.73	Watch
	2.6	2.85	2.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.58 ↑ (2.41)	2.84 ↓ (3.1)	2.79 ↓ (2.84)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 5.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Confiança
35.3%

Draw
32.1%

Ypiranga
32.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.1%

29.6%

32.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.6%

29.2%

32.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Confiança has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

Ypiranga has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Confiança than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

The ML Model estimate for Ypiranga aligns with the current prediction.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	16.7%	83.3%

Confiança - Ypiranga Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Ypiranga will win (votes: 5 - 83.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Jeferson Souza (G) 4. Adryan 8. Andre 5. Fabio Silva 6. Felippe Borges 9. Hyuri 2. Lucas Mendes 7. Lucas Rian 3. Raphael 10. Vico 11. Willians Santana (C)	1. Alexander (G) 10. Alisson Taddei 91. Anderson Uchoa (C) 8. Caio Mello 9. Edson Carius 4. Fernando 30. Jhonatan 7. Mateus Anderson 23. Mirandinha M. 3. Willian Gomes 15. Windson
Substitutes
13. Afonso 18. Douglas 14. Eduardo 21. Italo 19. Julio Rusch 15. Junior 16. Leonardo David 30. Pedro Henz (G) 20. Pedro Rodrigues 17. Riquelmo 22. Thiago Santos	34. Allan (G) 99. Amarildo 98. Caio Vitor 88. Clayton 11. Fabricio Pereira 33. Lucas Marques 2. Mendonca 17. Mossoro 79. Reifit 16. Yohan 18. Ze Vitor
Coaches
de Freitas U.	Thiago Carvalho

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
7', 1 - 0, Andre ⚽,
22', 2 - 0, Vico ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Mirandinha M. ↓, Lucas Marques ↑,
46', Caio Mello ↓, Reifit ↑,
61', Willians Santana ↓, Italo ↑,
61', Vico ↓, Douglas ↑,
64', Windson ↓, Ze Vitor ↑,
64', Alisson Taddei ↓, Caio Vitor ↑,
72', Lucas Rian ↓, Afonso ↑,
72', Hyuri ↓, Thiago Santos ↑,
77', Lucas Mendes ↓, Junior ↑,
78', Mateus Anderson ↓, Amarildo ↑,
88', Willian Gomes 🟨,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie D and 9).

Confiança is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Ypiranga is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Confiança could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Confiança won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-2.

Including matches at home between the teams Confiança won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AD Confiança Aracaju
Brazilian Serie C
01.07.24	Náutico Capibaribe - Confiança	2:1 ✺
27.06.24	Confiança - CS Alagoano	0:1 ✺
16.06.24	Figueirense - Confiança	2:0 ✺
10.06.24	Floresta - Confiança	1:0 ✺
01.06.24	Confiança - Aparecidense	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2 LLLLW
- Ypiranga FC
Brazilian Serie C
29.06.24	Ypiranga - ABC	1:1 ✺
23.06.24	EC São José Porto Alegre - Ypiranga	0:1 ✺
16.06.24	Remo - Ypiranga	1:0 ✺
10.06.24	Ypiranga - Tombense	1:0 ✺
02.06.24	São Bernardo - Ypiranga	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 TWLWL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie C
01.07.23	Confiança - Ypiranga	1:1
16.04.22	Confiança - Ypiranga	0:0
07.09.19	Ypiranga - Confiança	1:1
31.08.19	Confiança - Ypiranga	1:0

Confiança - Ypiranga: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide