Match Info

Serie C - First stage - Round 7

Date: 25 May 2025, Sunday

Location: Estádio Olímpico Colosso da Lagoa (Erechim)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Claro TV+, IT tv Plus, Nosso Futebol+, Sky+, Zapping


	Ypiranga		Tombense

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.95	2.95	3.6
	1.88	3.2	3.95	Watch
	1.91	3.19	4.1
	1.94	3.24	4.05	Watch
	1.85	3	3.9
	1.86	3.24	3.96	Watch
	1.93	3.2	4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.9 ↓ (1.96)	3.15 ↓ (3.25)	3.94 ↑ (3.62)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Ypiranga
47.9%

Draw
29%

Tombense
23.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.7%

28.1%

25.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.4%

29.8%

23.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ypiranga has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

Tombense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ypiranga than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tombense than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
28.6%	57.1%	14.3%

Ypiranga - Tombense Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Ypiranga will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). Tombense will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 57.1%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
40. Ze Carlos (C) 19. Caique 5. Charles Raphael 99. Danielzinho 11. Felipe Marques 25. Gabriel Terra 36. Igor Morais 10. Jean Pyerre 22. Rian K. R. d. N. 7. Roger 3. Willian Gomes	1. Matheus Aurelio (G) 11. Anderson Ligeiro 5. Fabricio Dias 3. Fernando 10. Ingro 7. Julio Henrique 6. Kaike 2. Leo Pereira 8. Lucas Mila 9. Rafael Silva 4. Roger Carvalho (C)
Substitutes
34. Arthur Vellasque (G) 8. Clayton 9. Cristiano 32. Fabao 79. Joao Branco 16. Lucas Ramos 23. Marlone 20. Maxuel Cassio 18. Montefiori T. 77. Pedrinho 26. Valber Junior 2. Vitor Marinho	17. Adson 15. Andre Cardoso 21. Jefferson Renan 13. Joao Mandovani 22. Joao Pedro 20. Pedro Oliveira 18. Rickson 16. Tarcisio 12. Vinicius Dias (G) 14. Wesley 19. Ze Eduardo
Coaches
Niehues L.	Raul Cabral

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
21', Jean Pyerre ↓, Marlone ↑,
27', Danielzinho 🟨,
41', Fabricio Dias 🟨,
45+2', Kaike 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Felipe Marques ↓, Cristiano ↑,
46', Fabricio Dias ↓, Rickson ↑,
56', Ingro ↓, Andre Cardoso ↑,
59', Lucas Mila 🟨,
64', Willian Gomes 🟨,
65', Lucas Mila ↓, Pedro Oliveira ↑,
66', Danielzinho ↓, Montefiori T. ↑,
79', 🟨,
79', Valber Junior 🟨,
87', 1 - 0, Valber Junior ⚽,
87', Valber Junior 🟨,
90+5', Lucas Ramos 🟨,

Preview

Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 13 and 9).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ypiranga won 2.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Tombense may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Ypiranga is a strong favorite.

In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Ypiranga won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 7:13. (average 0.6:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Ypiranga won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 5:4. (average 0.7:0.6).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ypiranga FC
Brazilian Serie C
17.05.25	Ypiranga - Náutico Capibaribe	0:4 ✺
10.05.25	Anápolis - Ypiranga	0:0 ✺
04.05.25	Ypiranga - CS Alagoano	1:0 ✺
27.04.25	Brusque - Ypiranga	1:0 ✺
19.04.25	Ypiranga - Itabaiana	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 LTWLW
- Tombense FC
Brazilian Serie C
17.05.25	Tombense - CS Alagoano	0:0 ✺
11.05.25	Londrina - Tombense	1:1 ✺
03.05.25	Tombense - Itabaiana	2:0 ✺
27.04.25	Ituano - Tombense	3:1 ✺
21.04.25	Tombense - Figueirense	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 TTWLW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie C
10.06.24	Ypiranga - Tombense	1:0
07.11.21	Tombense - Ypiranga	1:1
02.10.21	Ypiranga - Tombense	0:1
07.11.20	Tombense - Ypiranga	2:0
06.09.20	Ypiranga - Tombense	2:0
27.07.19	Tombense - Ypiranga	1:1
26.05.19	Ypiranga - Tombense	0:1

Ypiranga - Tombense: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide