Match Info

Serie C - First stage - Round 10

Date: 29 June 2025, Sunday

Location: Estádio Orlando Scarpelli (Florianópolis)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Claro TV+, DAZN Brasil, IT tv Plus, Nosso Futebol+, Sky+, Zapping


	Figueirense		Confiança

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.7	3.3	4.4
				Watch
	1.79	3.5	4.55
				Watch
	1.75	3.1	4.5
	1.75	3.32	4.43	Watch
	1.57	3.68	5.26
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.71 ↑ (1.64)	3.38 ↓ (3.75)	4.63 ↓ (4.64)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Figueirense
53.3%

Draw
27%

Confiança
19.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.8%

24.4%

19.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58%

23.5%

19%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Figueirense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

The chances for Confiança have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Figueirense than the current prediction. (+4.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Confiança than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
85.7%	14.3%	0%

Figueirense - Confiança Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Figueirense (votes: 3 - 60%). Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).

Users Predictions: Figueirense will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.78% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
52. Igo Gabriel (G) 90. Felipe Augusto 35. Flavio 92. Iury 9. Kayke 22. Leonan 4. Ligger (C) 37. Lucas Dias 7. Nicolas 28. Rafinha Potiguar 79. Reifit	1. Felipe Scheibig (G) 6. Airton 8. Dionisio 5. Fabio Silva 10. Matheusinho 9. Neto Oliveira 11. Nicholas 13. Renilson 7. Valdir Junior 14. Valdo (C) 2. Weriton
Substitutes
26. Douglas Bacelar 12. Fabricio Santana (G) 10. Gabriel Santiago 8. Joao Lucas 2. Leo Maia 11. Marlyson 78. Natan Alves 20. Ramon Vinicius 77. Renan 43. Roger Fellipo 6. Samuel Toscas 17. Wellington Nem	16. Alan Cardoso 12. Allan (G) 21. Breiner C. 17. Fabricio Pereira 18. Luiz Otavio 3. Maicon 20. Rafinha 22. Ronald Camarao 19. Thiago Santos 15. Vitinho
Coaches
Pintado	Luizinho Vieira

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
2', 1 - 0, Rafinha Potiguar ⚽,
34', Renilson 🟨,
45+2', Luizinho Vieira 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Flavio ↓, Ramon Vinicius ↑,
46', Reifit ↓, Joao Lucas ↑,
46', Kayke ↓, Wellington Nem ↑,
46', Matheusinho ↓, Breiner C. ↑,
65', Weriton ↓, Ronald Camarao ↑,
65', Fabio Silva ↓, Vitinho ↑,
67', Nicolas ↓, Renan ↑,
71', Nicholas ↓, Luiz Otavio ↑,
78', Joao Lucas 🟨,
80', Felipe Augusto ↓, Gabriel Santiago ↑,
81', Wellington Nem 🟨,
89', 1 - 1, Thiago Santos ⚽,

Preview

This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 16 and 19 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie D).

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

In this match, Figueirense is considered a favorite.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Figueirense won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:2. (average 0.6:0.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Figueirense won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0. (average 0.7:0).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Figueirense
Brazilian Serie C
15.06.25	Londrina - Figueirense	2:1 ✺
01.06.25	Figueirense - Botafogo PB	1:0 ✺
26.05.25	Guarani - Figueirense	0:0 ✺
18.05.25	Figueirense - Ituano	2:0 ✺
12.05.25	Itabaiana - Figueirense	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 LWTWT
- AD Confiança Aracaju
Brazilian Serie C
15.06.25	Ypiranga - Confiança	1:0 ✺
Brazilian Copa do Nordeste
07.06.25	Juazeirense - Confiança	0:0 ✺
04.06.25	Confiança - Bahia	2:0 ✺
Brazilian Serie C
01.06.25	Confiança - Brusque	4:1 ✺
24.05.25	CS Alagoano - Confiança	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.7 LTWWT

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie C
16.06.24	Figueirense - Confiança	2:0
13.05.23	Confiança - Figueirense	1:0
12.06.22	Figueirense - Confiança	0:0
Brazilian Serie B
01.12.20	Confiança - Figueirense	1:1
29.08.20	Figueirense - Confiança	0:0

Figueirense - Confiança: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide