Match Info

Sergipano - Round 9

Date: 14 February 2026, Saturday

Location: Estadio Estadual Lourival Baptista (Batistao) (Aracaju)


	Confiança		América de Propriá

	1	X	2
	1.36	4.15	7.7
	1.46	3.53	7.17
	1.38	4.08	8.25	Watch
	1.4	3.7	8
	1.46	3.9	7.19
	1.41	4	7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.41 ↓ (1.51)	3.89 ↑ (3.69)	7.55 ↑ (5.93)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Confiança
64.5%

Draw
23.4%

América de Propriá
12.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.1%

24.6%

15.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.3%

24.5%

15.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Confiança has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)

América de Propriá has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Confiança than the current prediction. (-4.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for América de Propriá than the current prediction. (+3.1%)

Confiança - América de Propriá Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Confiança (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1 - Confiança (1.58) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Confiança (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Sergipano (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Sergipano (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

Confiança is Qualified for Sergipano (Play Offs Quarter~finals)

América de Propriá is Qualified for Sergipano (Play Offs Quarter~finals)

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

In this match, Confiança is considered a favorite.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Confiança won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 15:2. (average 3:0.4).

Including home match between the teams, Confiança won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AD Confiança Aracaju
Brazilian Campeonato Sergipano
11.02.26	Dorense - Confiança	1:2 ✺
08.02.26	Confiança - Itabaiana	1:0 ✺
05.02.26	Confiança - Guarany de Porto da Folha	1:0 ✺
31.01.26	Sergipe - Confiança	1:0 ✺
24.01.26	Atlético Gloriense - Confiança	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 WWWLL
- América de Propriá
Brazilian Campeonato Sergipano
11.02.26	América de Propriá - Itabaiana	0:3 ✺
07.02.26	América de Propriá - Falcon	2:1 ✺
04.02.26	Lagarto - América de Propriá	0:0 ✺
31.01.26	América de Propriá - Desportiva Aracaju	0:0 ✺
25.01.26	Guarany de Porto da Folha - América de Propriá	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 LWTTT

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Sergipano
29.01.25	América de Propriá - Confiança	1:1
10.02.24	América de Propriá - Confiança	1:2
15.01.23	América de Propriá - Confiança	0:3
26.02.22	América de Propriá - Confiança	0:4
26.01.22	Confiança - América de Propriá	5:0

Confiança - América de Propriá: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide