Match Info

Sergipano - Play Offs - Quarter-finals

Date: 22 February 2026, Sunday

Location: Estadio Paulo Barreto de Menezes (Barretao) (Lagarto)


	Lagarto		América de Propriá

	1	X	2
	1.57	3.2	5.75
	1.62	3.2	5.5
	1.76	2.88	5.82	Watch
	1.62	3.1	6
	1.55	3.34	6.32
	1.64	3.45	5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.63 ↓ (1.64)	3.2 ↓ (3.45)	5.73 ↑ (5)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.50

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lagarto
55.8%

Draw
28.4%

América de Propriá
15.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.5%

26.4%

18.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.4%

25.1%

17.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lagarto has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

América de Propriá has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lagarto than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for América de Propriá than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

Lagarto - América de Propriá Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Max (G) 2. Belem P. 11. Bruninho 6. Emanuel 18. Erik Gabriel 14. Gabriel Dias 4. Hitalo 8. Lucas Bessa 25. Natanel 7. Rodriguinho 20. Soares	1. Guiga (G) 8. Daniel 16. Dudu 15. Miranda P. 10. Obina 9. Piaui 5. Recife Felipe 2. Renato 21. Silva de Souza Junior A. C. 11. Wesley Ceifador 3. Yuri

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
22', 0 - 1, Piaui ⚽,
23', Belem P. 🟨,
24', 0 - 2, Daniel ⚽,
32', Bruninho ↓, Jefferson Baiano ↑,
45+5', Erik Gabriel 🟨,
45+5', Renato 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Lucas Bessa ↓, Junior Palmares ↑,
55', Belem P. 🟨,
59', Erik Gabriel ↓, Dadinha ↑,
61', Obina ↓, Leo Cotia ↑,
61', Renato ↓, Celio ↑,
66', 🟨,
70', 0 - 3, Daniel ⚽,
71', Daniel 🟨,
74', Wesley Ceifador ↓, Tiquinho ↑,
74', Piaui ↓, Biro-Biro ↑,
80', Soares ↓, Adelan ↑,
80', Rodriguinho ↓, Gionnotti ↑,
87', 🟨,

Preview

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Sergipano (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Sergipano (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

América de Propriá may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Lagarto is the team to beat.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lagarto won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 9:2. (average 1.8:0.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Lagarto won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:1. (average 2:0.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lagarto FC
Brazilian Campeonato Sergipano
14.02.26	Lagarto - Sergipe	1:0 ✺
11.02.26	Desportiva Aracaju - Lagarto	1:3 ✺
07.02.26	Atlético Gloriense - Lagarto	2:1 ✺
04.02.26	Lagarto - América de Propriá	0:0 ✺
31.01.26	Lagarto - Itabaiana	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 WWLTT
- América de Propriá
Copa do Brasil
18.02.26	América de Propriá - Tirol	1:2 penalties ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Sergipano
14.02.26	Confiança - América de Propriá	0:0 ✺
11.02.26	América de Propriá - Itabaiana	0:3 ✺
07.02.26	América de Propriá - Falcon	2:1 ✺
04.02.26	Lagarto - América de Propriá	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.8 LTLWT

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Sergipano
04.02.26	Lagarto - América de Propriá	0:0
14.01.24	América de Propriá - Lagarto	1:2
10.02.23	Lagarto - América de Propriá	2:0
12.03.22	Lagarto - América de Propriá	4:1
09.02.22	América de Propriá - Lagarto	0:1

Lagarto - América de Propriá: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide