Match Info

Date: 16 October 2021, Saturday


	Confiança		Avaí

	1	X	2
				Watch
	3.5	3	2.1
	3.4	3.1	2.02	Watch
	3.65	2.9	2.1
	3.92	3.09	2.2
	3.5	3	2.15
	3.6	3.14	2.16	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.6 ↑ (3.37)	3.04 ↓ (3.14)	2.12 ↓ (2.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Confiança
25.8%

Draw
30.5%

Avaí
43.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.8%

30.9%

40.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.9%

23.5%

53.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Confiança has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

Avaí has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Confiança than the current prediction. (-3.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Avaí than the current prediction. (+9.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Avaí could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Confiança - Avaí Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

Outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie C and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie A).

Recent matches Confiança is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Avaí in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Avaí could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Avaí will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Confiança won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Confiança won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AD Confiança Aracaju
Brazilian Serie B
09.10.21	Vitória Salvador - Confiança	0:1 ✺
03.10.21	Confiança - Vasco da Gama	1:2 ✺
28.09.21	Coritiba - Confiança	1:1 ✺
25.09.21	Confiança - Operário Ferroviario	1:0 ✺
21.09.21	Vila Nova - Confiança	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 22.6 WLTWT
- Avaí
Brazilian Serie B
05.10.21	Avaí - Ponte Preta	1:1 ✺
02.10.21	Botafogo RJ - Avaí	1:2 ✺
28.09.21	Avaí - Londrina	2:0 ✺
25.09.21	CRB Maceio - Avaí	1:2 ✺
21.09.21	Avaí - Goiás	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.9 TWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie B
13.07.21	Avaí - Confiança	2:1
20.11.20	Avaí - Confiança	1:0
15.09.20	Confiança - Avaí	2:2

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