Match Info

Serie B - Round 5

Date: 18 April 2026, Saturday

Location: Dr. Aderbal Ramos da Silva (Ressacada) (Florianópolis)

Referee: de Lima M. (Bra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Disney+


	Avaí		Ponte Preta

	1	X	2
	1.71	3.2	5.25	Watch
	1.78	3.35	4.55	Watch
	1.83	3.61	4.9
	1.78	3.48	4.69	Watch
	1.8	3.3	4.33
	1.82	3.44	4.29	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.79 ↑ (1.7)	3.4 ↑ (3.37)	4.67 ↓ (5.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Avaí
52.4%

Draw
27.6%

Ponte Preta
20.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.7%

27.6%

17.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.3%

27.3%

17.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Avaí has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

Ponte Preta has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Avaí than the current prediction. (+2.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ponte Preta than the current prediction. (-2.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Avaí - Ponte Preta Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -0.75 - Avaí (1.89) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Avaí will win (7 of 7 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Avaí (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
41. Leo Aragao (G) 2. Wallison 3. Allyson (C) 55. Bruno Baldini 66. Quaresma 5. Romildo Del Piage 25. Paulo Vitor 43. Thayllon 8. Luiz Henrique 10. Jean Lucas 57. Walace Franca	12. Diogo Silva (G) 22. Thalys 3. Lucas Cunha 44. Marcio Silva 32. Kevyson 20. Murilo 8. Andre Lima 6. Saravia Salvia R. A. 7. Diego Tavares 31. Bryan Borges (C) 9. Willian Pottker
Substitutes
9. Avenatti F. 6. Cabral N. 30. Cristiano 4. Gabriel Simples 15. Guilherme Aquino 18. Hyan 1. Igor Bohn (G) 20. Isaias 16. Jamerson 50. Joao Maistro 11. Sorriso 52. Wesley Gasolina	26. Baianinho 99. Brandao 14. Danilo Barcelos 30. Guilherme Viana (G) 16. Leo Gomes 2. Lucas Justen 11. Luis Phelipe 17. Miguel Morais 5. Rodrigo Souza 90. Rodriguinho 15. Weverton
Coaches
Cauan de Almeida	Rodrigo Santana

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
34', Luiz Henrique 🟨,
38', 1 - 0, Jean Lucas ⚽, Thayllon (A),
45+2', 1 - 1, Willian Pottker (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Saravia Salvia R. A. ↓, Luis Phelipe ↑,
46', Romildo Del Piage ↓, Cristiano ↑,
57', Walace Franca ↓, Avenatti F. ↑,
60', Willian Pottker (Penalty Awarded),
60', 1 - 2, Diego Tavares ⚽,
62', Jean Lucas ↓, Sorriso ↑,
69', Bryan Borges 🟨,
75', Willian Pottker ↓, Rodriguinho ↑,
77', Thayllon 🟨,
77', Thayllon ↓, Isaias ↑,
77', Luiz Henrique ↓, Jamerson ↑,
79', Sorriso 🟨,
82', Thalys 🟨,
84', Diego Tavares ↓, Brandao ↑,
85', Bryan Borges ↓, Rodrigo Souza ↑,
88', Kevyson ↓, Danilo Barcelos ↑,
90+5', Wallison 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Avaí won 2.

Avaí has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Ponte Preta is on a losing streak (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Avaí may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Avaí is considered a favorite.

In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Avaí won 6 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 13:14. (average 0.8:0.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Avaí won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:4. (average 0.6:0.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
17	Avai	32	9	6	17	32:43	-11	33
20	Ponte Preta ✔	32	3	4	25	17:68	-51	13

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Avaí
Brazilian Copa Sul Sudeste
15.04.26	Avaí - Caxias	1:0 ✺
Brazilian Serie B
11.04.26	Sport Recife - Avaí	2:2 ✺
Brazilian Copa Sul Sudeste
08.04.26	Chapecoense - Avaí	2:1 ✺
Brazilian Serie B
05.04.26	Avaí - Operário Ferroviario	0:0 ✺
01.04.26	CRB Maceio - Avaí	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.8 WTLTW
- AA Ponte Preta
Brazilian Serie B
11.04.26	Ponte Preta - Vila Nova	0:1 ✺
04.04.26	Náutico Capibaribe - Ponte Preta	1:0 ✺
01.04.26	Ponte Preta - Ceará	1:1 ✺
22.03.26	Athletic Club - Ponte Preta	2:1 ✺
Copa do Brasil
18.03.26	Atlético Goianiense - Ponte Preta	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 LLTLL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie B
22.11.24	Avaí - Ponte Preta	2:1
04.08.24	Ponte Preta - Avaí	1:0
04.11.23	Ponte Preta - Avaí	0:1
08.07.23	Avaí - Ponte Preta	0:1
05.10.21	Avaí - Ponte Preta	1:1
06.07.21	Ponte Preta - Avaí	0:0
11.12.20	Ponte Preta - Avaí	1:2

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